Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Census Tract · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
Varnamtown Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 37019020407 · Brunswick County, NC · pop 1,720 · 1% of tract blocks fall in Varnamtown
37019020407 is a census tract in Varnamtown, NC. It scores 3/10 for landlords. It is home to 1,720 residents. 37% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 5%
Stable renters 5%
Owners 90%
Tract context
Occupied units827
Renter share10.2%
SVI overall0.33
Poverty rate9.2%
Median income$93,194
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
10
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
28
th percentile
Low
National
20
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Varnamtown and the region
Centroid at 33.9221, -78.2811 · click any tract to drill in
Why Varnamtown scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Varnamtown
4.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.8
State political climate
North Carolina legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
9.2% poverty · this tract
2.3
Supply constraint
$1,375 rent vs county FMR
5.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Varnamtown
8.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Varnamtown
2.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Varnamtown
7.9
How Varnamtown compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 33
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 67%Socioeconomic
- 46%Household composition
- 4%Racial/ethnic minority
- 11%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 6.9%Housing insecurity
- 4.5%Utility-shutoff threat
- 9.1%Food insecurity
- 6.7%SNAP enrollment
- 5.3%Transit barriers
- 7.6%No health insurance
- 13.9%Frequent mental distress
- 33.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Varnamtown
What pushes it up most is rent-regulation exposure at 8/10. At $1,375 a month, rents run 26% over what the rest of Varnamtown commands.
On the high side, housing-court posture reads 7.9/10. Cost burden runs about half here against 40.6% across Brunswick County.
Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 2.3/10. Food insecurity runs 9.1% against 17.8% nationally.
It sits 0.8 points below the Brunswick County average of 3.8. Housing insecurity runs 6.9% against 14.2% nationally.
That is riskier than roughly 20% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. At 10% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. Social vulnerability reads 4/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
Rent consumes only 18% of average household income of $93,194, an unusually wide affordability cushion. Statewide the NC average is 4.0, so this tract runs 1.0 points cooler.
Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 37019020407
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 37019020407?
Census tract 37019020407 in Varnamtown scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 37019020407?
Median gross rent is $1,375/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 48% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 37019020407?
9.2% of residents in tract 37019020407 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,720.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 37019020407?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 33th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 67th, household 46th, minority 4th, housing 11th.
Q5
What share of households in tract 37019020407 struggle to pay rent?
About 6.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6
How does tract 37019020407 compare to Varnamtown overall?
Tract 37019020407 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Varnamtown at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Varnamtown; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Varnamtown
Top eight tracts in Varnamtown ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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