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Neighborhood · Asheville, NC

Murphy Junction Eviction Risk: Moderate

2 census tracts · pop 4,372 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.4/10 · range 5.4–5.5

Murphy Junction takes in 2 census tracts of Asheville, NC and houses 4,372 people. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 5.4/10, Moderate tier. The severe-burden share is 40%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay.

Cost burden runs 60% against 31.7% citywide, putting Murphy Junction 28.7% over its own city. Pulling the other way is supply constraint, at 1.7/10. At $1,018 a month, rents sit 27% under what the rest of Asheville commands.

Well under the midpoint is rent-regulation exposure, at 2.5/10. The poverty rate is 19%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than the filing statistics suggest.

The filing record is not thin: 924 evictions logged in this tract. The worst year on record was 2008, when filings touched 63.3% of renter households.

The most recent observed rate, 31.2% in 2013, is well off that peak. That places it #7 of 18 neighborhoods in Asheville. Social vulnerability runs high at 7.9/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input.

The 2 tracts here are tightly clustered, 0.1 points apart at the extremes.

With little internal variation, 5.4/10 is a fair proxy for any address inside the boundary. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
5.4
Moderate
2 tracts · population-weighted
Murphy Junction vs Asheville How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
60.4% +91%
Asheville: 31.7%
Average gross rent
$1,018 -27%
Asheville: $1,402
Average HH income
$44,575 -34%
Asheville: $67,221
Poverty rate
19.4% +33%
Asheville: 14.6%
Renter share
47.5% -1%
Asheville: 48.1%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Murphy Junction and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 5.4–5.5

Why Murphy Junction scores 5.4

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 2.3–2.3 across tracts
2.3
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 6.1–6.1 across tracts
6.1
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Rent control risk
60% of income on rent · Range 2.5–2.5 across tracts
2.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 4.0–4.0 across tracts
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
48% renter households · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts
6.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 4.0–4.0 across tracts
4.0
Economic stress
19.4% below poverty line · Range 4.2–6.3 across tracts
4.8
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.4–1.9 across tracts
1.7
Risk score comparison

Murphy Junction vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Murphy Junction score vs. parent city, state, U.S.5.4Murphy JunctionNeighborhood4.1Parent cityhost city3.9Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Murphy Junction

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
37021000200 5.5 1,352 65% $974
37021001402 5.4 3,020 58% $1,038
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 76

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 76%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 74%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 63%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 57%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Murphy Junction

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 924Total filings (sum)
  • 23.28%Avg annual filing rate
  • 63.3%Peak year (2008)
  • 31.20%Latest filed (2013)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Murphy Junction

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Murphy Junction

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Murphy Junction?

Murphy Junction scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Murphy Junction compare to Asheville overall?

Murphy Junction scores 1.3 points higher than Asheville overall (4.1/10). Renters spend 60% of income on rent vs 32% citywide. Average rent: $1,018 vs $1,402.
Q3

What is the average rent in Murphy Junction?

Average gross rent in Murphy Junction is $1,018/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 60% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Murphy Junction residents are renters?

48% of Murphy Junction households are renter-occupied (vs 48% in Asheville). The neighborhood has 4,372 residents.
Q5

Is Murphy Junction a high social-vulnerability area?

Murphy Junction sits in the 76th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Murphy Junction have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Murphy Junction is census tract 37021000200 (score 5.5/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 5.4 to 5.5, a spread of 0.1 points.
Q7

How safe is Murphy Junction for landlords?

Murphy Junction carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.4/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Asheville as a whole (4.1/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Murphy Junction?

Murphy Junction has 4,987 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (52.2%), Hispanic / Latino (28.4%), Black (non-Hispanic) (13.4%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Murphy Junction

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Asheville

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Murphy Junction.

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