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Neighborhood · Concord, NC

Brown Mill Eviction Risk: Moderate

2 census tracts · pop 5,355 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.7/10 · range 4.7–4.7

Brown Mill is a 2-tract neighborhood of Concord, NC and houses 5,355 people. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 4.7/10, in the Moderate tier. The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure, at 1/10.

The severe-burden share is 25%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay. Well under the midpoint is supply constraint, at 1.7/10. 39% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, higher than the Concord rate of 31.0%.

The poverty rate is 27%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. On the softer side is tenant-organizing strength, at 2/10.

At $1,184 a month, rents sit 18% under what the rest of Concord commands. Court records carry 2,854 eviction filings across its 2 observed tracts.

19.3% of adults carry no health insurance against 11.3% nationally, a common route into sudden unpayable debt. The worst year on record was 2013, when filings touched 32.0% of renter households.

Food insecurity affects 26.1% of adults, 8.3 points above the national rate. Recent filings have not receded much: 21.0% in 2017 against a 32.0% peak.

The area figure travels well to individual addresses here, though the per-tract table below still carries the detail. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
4.7
Moderate
2 tracts · population-weighted
Brown Mill vs Concord How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
39.0% +26%
Concord: 31.0%
Average gross rent
$1,184 -18%
Concord: $1,451
Average HH income
$47,482 -44%
Concord: $84,752
Poverty rate
26.7% +210%
Concord: 8.6%
Renter share
40.1% +15%
Concord: 34.8%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Brown Mill and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 4.7–4.7

Why Brown Mill scores 4.7

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 2.3–2.3 across tracts
2.3
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts
4.5
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 3.0–3.0 across tracts
3.0
Rent control risk
39% of income on rent · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 2.5–2.5 across tracts
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
40% renter households · Range 2.0–2.0 across tracts
2.0
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 3.0–3.0 across tracts
3.0
Economic stress
26.7% below poverty line · Range 6.2–7.1 across tracts
6.7
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.0–2.5 across tracts
1.7
Risk score comparison

Brown Mill vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Brown Mill score vs. parent city, state, U.S.4.7Brown MillNeighborhood3.3Parent cityhost city3.9Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Brown Mill

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
37025041901 4.7 2,859 16% $1,023
37025042502 4.7 2,496 66% $1,369
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 77

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 69%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 68%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 67%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 85%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Brown Mill

Aggregated across 2 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 2,854Total filings (sum)
  • 39.17%Avg annual filing rate
  • 32.0%Peak year (2013)
  • 20.35%Latest filed (2017)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Brown Mill

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Brown Mill

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Brown Mill?

Brown Mill scores 4.7/10 (Moderate tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Brown Mill compare to Concord overall?

Brown Mill scores 1.4 points higher than Concord overall (3.3/10). Renters spend 39% of income on rent vs 31% citywide. Average rent: $1,184 vs $1,451.
Q3

What is the average rent in Brown Mill?

Average gross rent in Brown Mill is $1,184/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 39% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Brown Mill residents are renters?

40% of Brown Mill households are renter-occupied (vs 35% in Concord). The neighborhood has 5,355 residents.
Q5

Is Brown Mill a high social-vulnerability area?

Brown Mill sits in the 77th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Brown Mill have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Brown Mill is census tract 37025041901 (score 4.7/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 4.7 to 4.7, a spread of 0 points.
Q7

How safe is Brown Mill for landlords?

Brown Mill carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.7/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Concord as a whole (3.3/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Brown Mill?

Brown Mill has 5,775 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (38.3%), Hispanic / Latino (30.1%), Black (non-Hispanic) (24.6%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Brown Mill

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Concord

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Brown Mill.

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