Skip to content
Neighborhood · Harrisburg, NC

Downtown Eviction Risk: Lower

1 census tracts · pop 5,043 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.6/10 · range 3.6–3.6

Downtown is a one-tract suburb of Harrisburg, NC, population 5,043. Scored across those inputs it reaches 3.6/10, placing it in the Lower tier. Severe burden reaches 32%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears.

The voucher gap is 33.1%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears. Against a Harrisburg baseline of 25.1%, 37% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line. Set annual rent against average household income of $79,750 and the ratio lands at 37%, above the conventional 30% ceiling.

The strongest single driver of the headline number is supply constraint at 8.3/10. On the softer side is economic stress, at 2/10.

Well under the midpoint is eviction-process difficulty, at 2.4/10. The filing record is not thin: 226 evictions logged in this tract. Filing activity peaked in 2016 at 7.4% of renter households.

Recent filings have not receded much: 5.2% in 2017 against a 7.4% peak. Average gross rent is $2,427, 8% below the Harrisburg average of $2,640. At 19% renter-occupied, this is predominantly owner territory, and rental comps have to be drawn from further out.

One tract means one number: 3.6/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
3.6
Lower
1 tracts · population-weighted
Downtown vs Harrisburg How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
36.6% +46%
Harrisburg: 25.1%
Average gross rent
$2,427 -8%
Harrisburg: $2,640
Average HH income
$79,750 -44%
Harrisburg: $143,393
Poverty rate
7.9% +108%
Harrisburg: 3.8%
Renter share
18.5% +118%
Harrisburg: 8.5%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Downtown and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 3.6–3.6

Why Downtown scores 3.6

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 2.3–2.3 across tracts
2.3
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts
4.5
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 5.1–5.1 across tracts
5.1
Rent control risk
37% of income on rent · Range 4.4–4.4 across tracts
4.4
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 2.4–2.4 across tracts
2.4
Tenant organizing strength
19% renter households · Range 2.5–2.5 across tracts
2.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts
3.5
Economic stress
7.9% below poverty line · Range 2.0–2.0 across tracts
2.0
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 8.3–8.3 across tracts
8.3
Risk score comparison

Downtown vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Downtown score vs. parent city, state, U.S.3.6DowntownNeighborhood3.4Parent cityhost city3.9Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Downtown

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
37025042604 3.6 5,043 37% $2,427
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 52

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 61%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 30%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 47%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 53%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Downtown

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 226Total filings (sum)
  • 6.15%Avg annual filing rate
  • 7.4%Peak year (2016)
  • 5.21%Latest filed (2017)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Downtown

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Downtown

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Downtown?

Downtown scores 3.6/10 (Lower tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Downtown compare to Harrisburg overall?

Downtown scores 0.2 points higher than Harrisburg overall (3.4/10). Renters spend 37% of income on rent vs 25% citywide. Average rent: $2,427 vs $2,640.
Q3

What is the average rent in Downtown?

Average gross rent in Downtown is $2,427/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 37% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Downtown residents are renters?

19% of Downtown households are renter-occupied (vs 8% in Harrisburg). The neighborhood has 5,043 residents.
Q5

Is Downtown a high social-vulnerability area?

Downtown sits in the 52nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Downtown for landlords?

Downtown carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.6/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Harrisburg as a whole (3.4/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Downtown?

Downtown has 4,854 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (68.7%), Black (non-Hispanic) (11%), Hispanic / Latino (9.7%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Downtown

Zoom out

Up the geography chain · or explore further