Neighborhood · Harrisburg, NC

Downtown Eviction Risk: Lower

1 census tracts · pop 5,043 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 2.5/10 · range 2.5–2.5

Downtown is a white (non-hispanic) neighborhood in Harrisburg with 1 census tract and a population of 5,043 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 2.5/10 (Lower tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 37% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 32% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $2,427/month sits 8% lower than the Harrisburg citywide average ($2,640).

Risk score

2.5

Lower

1 tracts · population-weighted

Downtown vs Harrisburg How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

36.6% +46%

Harrisburg: 25.1%

Average gross rent

$2,427 -8%

Harrisburg: $2,640

Average HH income

$79,750 -44%

Harrisburg: $143,393

Poverty rate

7.9% +108%

Harrisburg: 3.8%

Renter share

18.5% +118%

Harrisburg: 8.5%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Downtown and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 2.5–2.5

Why Downtown scores 2.5

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 2.3–2.3 across tracts

2.3

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts

4.5

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 5.1–5.1 across tracts

5.1

Rent control risk

37% of income on rent · Range 4.4–4.4 across tracts

4.4

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 2.4–2.4 across tracts

2.4

Tenant organizing strength

19% renter households · Range 2.5–2.5 across tracts

2.5

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts

3.5

Economic stress

7.9% below poverty line · Range 2.0–2.0 across tracts

2.0

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 8.3–8.3 across tracts

8.3

Risk score comparison

Downtown vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Census tracts

1 tracts in Downtown

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
37025042604	2.5	5,043	37%	$2,427

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 52

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 61%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 30%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 47%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 53%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Downtown

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

226Total filings (sum)
6.15%Avg annual filing rate
7.4%Peak year (2016)
5.21%Latest filed (2017)

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Downtown

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

11.1%Housing insecurity
7.5%Utility shutoff threat
13.9%Food insecurity
11.1%SNAP enrollment
9.6%No health insurance
32.0%Any disability

Frequently asked

About Downtown

What is the eviction-risk score for Downtown?

Downtown scores 2.5/10 (Lower tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Downtown compare to Harrisburg overall?

Downtown scores 0.2 points higher than Harrisburg overall (2.3/10). Renters spend 37% of income on rent vs 25% citywide. Average rent: $2,427 vs $2,640.

What is the average rent in Downtown?

Average gross rent in Downtown is $2,427/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 37% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Downtown residents are renters?

19% of Downtown households are renter-occupied (vs 8% in Harrisburg). The neighborhood has 5,043 residents.

Is Downtown a high social-vulnerability area?

Downtown sits in the 52nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

How safe is Downtown for landlords?

Downtown carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (2.5/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Harrisburg as a whole (2.3/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.

What is the demographic breakdown of Downtown?

Downtown has 4,854 residents (White (non-Hispanic) Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (68.7%), Black (non-Hispanic) (11%), Hispanic / Latino (9.7%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Downtown

1.7 Riverwalk 2 tracts · pop 11,178 2.3 Haven at Rocky River 2 tracts · pop 16,457 3.2 Southern Chase 2 tracts · pop 6,874 4.4 Brown Mill 2 tracts · pop 5,355 1.5 Cox Mill 2 tracts · pop 8,186 3 Settlers Ridge 2 tracts · pop 8,211

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