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Census Tract · Ranked #15,522 of 84,120 nationally

Fayetteville Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 37051001903 · Cumberland County, NC · pop 3,696 · 87% of tract blocks fall in Fayetteville

For landlords sizing up Fayetteville, census tract 37051001903 carries a moderate eviction-risk score of 5.7/10. That is riskier than about 64% of US census tracts.

About 60% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 24% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,109 monthly, set against $39,688 in average yearly household income, roughly 34% of income at the averages. About 58% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
5.7
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 35% Stable renters 23% Owners 42%
Tract context
Occupied units1,609
Renter share58.3%
SVI overall0.95
Poverty rate26.8%
Median income$39,688

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
81 th percentile
Rank, 81st percentileLowHigh
#12 of 58 tracts In Fayetteville
High
Within county
84 th percentile
Rank, 84th percentileLowHigh
#14 of 81 tracts In Cumberland County
High
Within state
93 th percentile
Rank, 93rd percentileLowHigh
#184 of 2,660 tracts In North Carolina
Very High
National
82 th percentile
Rank, 82nd percentileLowHigh
#15,522 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Fayetteville and the region

Centroid at 35.0254, -78.9683 · click any tract to drill in

Why Fayetteville scores 5.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Fayetteville
3.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.8
State political climate
North Carolina legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
26.8% poverty · this tract
6.7
Supply constraint
$1,109 rent vs county FMR
3.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Fayetteville
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Fayetteville
2.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Fayetteville
3.0

How Fayetteville compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Fayetteville risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.75.7This tracttract 001903Fayetteville: 3.03.0Fayettevilleparent cityCounty: 4.64.6Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 95

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 2,839Total filings over 16 yrs
  • 21.09%Avg annual filing rate
  • 34.0%Peak (2017)
  • 252Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2002 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 370510019032002: 149 filings (29.16/100 renter HHs)2003: 171 filings (33.46/100 renter HHs)2005: 123 filings (13.85/100 renter HHs)2006: 152 filings (17.12/100 renter HHs)2007: 100 filings (11.26/100 renter HHs)2008: 109 filings (12.27/100 renter HHs)2009: 104 filings (11.71/100 renter HHs)2010: 96 filings (11.31/100 renter HHs)2011: 205 filings (21.97/100 renter HHs)2012: 159 filings (17.04/100 renter HHs)2013: 189 filings (20.26/100 renter HHs)2014: 250 filings (26.80/100 renter HHs)2015: 234 filings (25.08/100 renter HHs)2016: 231 filings (24.95/100 renter HHs)2017: 315 filings (34.02/100 renter HHs)2018: 252 filings (27.21/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 69% over the past 16 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Fayetteville

The heaviest input here is economic stress at 6.7/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Fayetteville eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Cumberland County average of 5.4 and above the North Carolina statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 2,839 eviction filings here over 16 tracked years, with about 21.1% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 34.0% of renter households in 2017.

The tract is White and Black and ranks around the 95th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 37051001903

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 37051001903?

Census tract 37051001903 in Fayetteville scores 5.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 37051001903?

Median gross rent is $1,109/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 60% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 37051001903?

26.8% of residents in tract 37051001903 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,696.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 37051001903?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 95th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 96th, household 86th, minority 73th, housing 86th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 37051001903?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 2,839 eviction filings across 16 validated years in tract 37051001903 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 21.09% of renter households, peaking at 34.0% in 2017. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

What share of households in tract 37051001903 struggle to pay rent?

About 20.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 15.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 37051001903 compare to Fayetteville overall?

Tract 37051001903 scores 5.7/10, higher than the parent city of Fayetteville at 3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Fayetteville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Fayetteville

Top eight tracts in Fayetteville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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