Fayetteville Eviction Risk: Moderate

Against Cumberland County at 45.9%, 68% of renters here are cost-burdened. The dominant input is court filing pressure at 9.3/10. Annualized rent equals 43% of average household income of $27,064, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.

Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 1/10. SNAP participation runs 32.7% against 15.2% nationally. The poverty rate is 31%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

Disability prevalence runs 44.8% against 31.5% nationally. At $969 a month, rents run 22% under what the rest of Fayetteville commands. Running cool, state political climate reads 2.3/10.

It sits 1.0 points above the Cumberland County average of 4.0. The filing record is not thin: 2,138 evictions over 16 years of observation. The worst year on record was 2003, when 26.1% of renter households were served.

In a typical year about 18.6% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 61% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 9.7/10.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.