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Census Tract · Ranked #10,885 of 84,120 nationally

Fayetteville Eviction Risk: Elevated

Tract 37051003800 · Cumberland County, NC · pop 2,304

Landlord eviction risk in census tract 37051003800 (Fayetteville, North Carolina) comes in at 5.7/10, the Moderate tier. On the national scale it ranks #30,366 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

About 68% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 44% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $969 a month while the average household earns $27,064 a year, roughly 43% of income at the averages. Renters make up 64% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
6.1
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 44% Stable renters 20% Owners 36%
Tract context
Occupied units873
Renter share63.8%
SVI overall0.97
Poverty rate30.7%
Median income$27,064

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
98 th percentile
Rank, 98th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 58 tracts In Fayetteville
Very High
Within county
99 th percentile
Rank, 99th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 81 tracts In Cumberland County
Very High
Within state
99 th percentile
Rank, 99th percentileLowHigh
#23 of 2,660 tracts In North Carolina
Very High
National
87 th percentile
Rank, 87th percentileLowHigh
#10,885 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Fayetteville and the region

Centroid at 35.0603, -78.8745 · click any tract to drill in

Why Fayetteville scores 6.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Fayetteville
3.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.8
State political climate
North Carolina legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
30.7% poverty · this tract
7.7
Supply constraint
$969 rent vs county FMR
2.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Fayetteville
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Fayetteville
2.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Fayetteville
3.0

How Fayetteville compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Fayetteville risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 6.16.1This tracttract 003800Fayetteville: 3.03.0Fayettevilleparent cityCounty: 4.64.6Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 97

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 2,138Total filings over 16 yrs
  • 18.65%Avg annual filing rate
  • 26.1%Peak (2003)
  • 93Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2002 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 370510038002002: 174 filings (23.93/100 renter HHs)2003: 190 filings (26.13/100 renter HHs)2005: 182 filings (21.61/100 renter HHs)2006: 130 filings (15.44/100 renter HHs)2007: 149 filings (17.70/100 renter HHs)2008: 141 filings (16.75/100 renter HHs)2009: 148 filings (17.58/100 renter HHs)2010: 149 filings (21.50/100 renter HHs)2011: 142 filings (21.88/100 renter HHs)2012: 127 filings (19.57/100 renter HHs)2013: 126 filings (19.41/100 renter HHs)2014: 101 filings (15.56/100 renter HHs)2015: 92 filings (14.18/100 renter HHs)2016: 102 filings (16.75/100 renter HHs)2017: 92 filings (15.11/100 renter HHs)2018: 93 filings (15.27/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 47% over the past 16 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Fayetteville

What moves this score most is economic stress at 7.7/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Fayetteville eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Cumberland County average of 5.4 and above the North Carolina statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 2,138 eviction filings here over 16 tracked years, with about 18.6% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 26.1% of renter households in 2003.

The tract is predominantly Black and ranks around the 97th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 37051003800

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 37051003800?

Census tract 37051003800 in Fayetteville scores 6.1/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 37051003800?

Median gross rent is $969/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 68% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 37051003800?

30.7% of residents in tract 37051003800 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,304.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 37051003800?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 97th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 97th, household 91th, minority 85th, housing 86th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 37051003800?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 2,138 eviction filings across 16 validated years in tract 37051003800 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 18.65% of renter households, peaking at 26.1% in 2003. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

What share of households in tract 37051003800 struggle to pay rent?

About 25.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 19.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 37051003800 compare to Fayetteville overall?

Tract 37051003800 scores 6.1/10, higher than the parent city of Fayetteville at 3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Fayetteville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Fayetteville

Top eight tracts in Fayetteville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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