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Census Tract · Ranked #14,316 of 84,120 nationally

Fayetteville Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 37051002401 · Cumberland County, NC · pop 1,393 · 59% of tract blocks fall in Fayetteville

Tract 37051002401, home to 1,393 residents in Fayetteville, scores 5.9/10 for landlord eviction risk. It lands near the 71st percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 50% of renter households, a severe level, and 33% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $796 a month against an average household income of $36,196 a year, roughly 26% of income at the averages. About 74% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
5.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 37% Stable renters 37% Owners 26%
Tract context
Occupied units610
Renter share74.3%
SVI overall0.99
Poverty rate44.2%
Median income$36,196

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
86 th percentile
Rank, 86th percentileLowHigh
#9 of 58 tracts In Fayetteville
High
Within county
88 th percentile
Rank, 88th percentileLowHigh
#11 of 81 tracts In Cumberland County
High
Within state
95 th percentile
Rank, 95th percentileLowHigh
#148 of 2,660 tracts In North Carolina
Very High
National
83 th percentile
Rank, 83rd percentileLowHigh
#14,316 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Fayetteville and the region

Centroid at 35.1083, -78.9316 · click any tract to drill in

Why Fayetteville scores 5.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Fayetteville
3.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.8
State political climate
North Carolina legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
44.2% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$796 rent vs county FMR
1.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Fayetteville
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Fayetteville
2.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Fayetteville
3.0

How Fayetteville compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Fayetteville risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.85.8This tracttract 002401Fayetteville: 3.03.0Fayettevilleparent cityCounty: 4.64.6Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 99

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 2,823Total filings over 16 yrs
  • 23.49%Avg annual filing rate
  • 27.0%Peak (2002)
  • 133Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2002 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 370510024012002: 302 filings (26.99/100 renter HHs)2003: 261 filings (23.32/100 renter HHs)2005: 252 filings (22.90/100 renter HHs)2006: 211 filings (19.17/100 renter HHs)2007: 196 filings (17.81/100 renter HHs)2008: 184 filings (16.72/100 renter HHs)2009: 160 filings (14.54/100 renter HHs)2010: 171 filings (28.98/100 renter HHs)2011: 170 filings (30.25/100 renter HHs)2012: 157 filings (27.94/100 renter HHs)2013: 142 filings (25.27/100 renter HHs)2014: 123 filings (21.89/100 renter HHs)2015: 110 filings (19.57/100 renter HHs)2016: 119 filings (24.95/100 renter HHs)2017: 132 filings (27.67/100 renter HHs)2018: 133 filings (27.88/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 56% over the past 16 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Fayetteville

The score leans hardest on economic stress at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Fayetteville eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Cumberland County average of 5.4 and above the North Carolina statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 2,823 eviction filings here over 16 tracked years, with about 23.5% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 27.0% of renter households in 2002.

In CDC survey modeling, about 30.4% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 24.3% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 37051002401

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 37051002401?

Census tract 37051002401 in Fayetteville scores 5.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 37051002401?

Median gross rent is $796/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 37051002401?

44.2% of residents in tract 37051002401 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,393.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 37051002401?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 99th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 97th, household 96th, minority 86th, housing 92th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 37051002401?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 2,823 eviction filings across 16 validated years in tract 37051002401 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 23.49% of renter households, peaking at 27.0% in 2002. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

What share of households in tract 37051002401 struggle to pay rent?

About 30.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 24.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 37051002401 compare to Fayetteville overall?

Tract 37051002401 scores 5.8/10, higher than the parent city of Fayetteville at 3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Fayetteville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Fayetteville

Top eight tracts in Fayetteville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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