Timberfield Eviction Risk: Lower

The dominant input is supply constraint at 10/10. The voucher gap is 82.5%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears. Well under the midpoint is rent-regulation exposure, at 1/10.

20% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate. Running cool is economic stress, at 2.2/10.

Court records for this tract carry 24 eviction filings. SNAP participation is 6.1% of households versus 15.2% nationally. Food insecurity affects 8.4% of adults, 9.4 points below the national rate.

The worst year on record was 2005, when filings touched 13.0% of renter households. 34% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, slightly above the Winston-Salem rate of 30.4%. The most recent observed rate, 1.6% in 2012, is well off that peak.

That places it #21 of 26 neighborhoods in Winston-Salem. At 9% renter-occupied, this is predominantly owner territory, and rental comps have to be drawn from further out. For a like-for-like read, Bridalcreek and Forsyth Forest score within a fraction of it.

Because the boundary contains one tract, 3/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.