Downtown Gastonia Historic District Eviction Risk: Moderate

Pulling the other way is supply constraint, at 1.1/10. Sitting well above the midpoint is tenant-organizing strength at 8.8/10. Severe burden reaches 23%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears.

On the softer side is eviction-process difficulty, at 2.4/10. Filings are well documented here: 1,701 across 2 observed tracts. Filing activity peaked in 2015 at 25.3% of renter households.

At $1,078 a month, rents sit 10% under what the rest of Gastonia commands. The most recent observed rate, 13.4% in 2017, is well off that peak.

Among the 4 mapped neighborhoods of Gastonia, it ranks #3 by risk, the lower third. Social vulnerability runs high at 8.6/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input.

The 3 tracts here are tightly clustered, 0.5 points apart at the extremes. Annual rent works out to 28% of average household income of $46,324. 60% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

With little internal variation, 5/10 is a fair proxy for any address inside the boundary. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.