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Neighborhood · Clayton, NC

Valley Creek Eviction Risk: Lower

2 census tracts · pop 7,635 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.3/10 · range 2.5–3.5

Valley Creek is a white-black neighborhood in Clayton with 2 census tracts and a population of 7,635 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 3.3/10 (Lower tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 33% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 18% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $893/month sits 46% lower than the Clayton citywide average ($1,661).

Risk score
3.3
Lower
2 tracts · population-weighted
Valley Creek vs Clayton How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
33.3% +6%
Clayton: 31.3%
Average gross rent
$893 -46%
Clayton: $1,661
Average HH income
$66,663 -9%
Clayton: $73,348
Poverty rate
13.8% +71%
Clayton: 8.1%
Renter share
12.6% -66%
Clayton: 37.3%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Valley Creek and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 2.5–3.5

Why Valley Creek scores 3.3

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 2.3–2.3 across tracts
2.3
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 3.8–3.8 across tracts
3.8
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 4.4–4.4 across tracts
4.4
Rent control risk
33% of income on rent · Range 6.8–6.8 across tracts
6.8
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 2.7–2.7 across tracts
2.7
Tenant organizing strength
13% renter households · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 5.6–5.6 across tracts
5.6
Economic stress
13.8% below poverty line · Range 2.0–3.9 across tracts
3.4
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Risk score comparison

Valley Creek vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Valley Creek score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Valley Creek: 3.33.3Valley CreekNeighborhoodParent city: 2.42.4Parent cityhost cityState: 2.92.9Stateavg in stateU.S.: 4.74.7U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Valley Creek

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
37101041104 3.5 5,773 19% $872
37101040906 2.5 1,862 78% $958
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 38

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 64%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 4%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 58%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 44%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Valley Creek

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Valley Creek

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Valley Creek?

Valley Creek scores 3.3/10 (Lower tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Valley Creek compare to Clayton overall?

Valley Creek scores 0.9 points higher than Clayton overall (2.4/10). Renters spend 33% of income on rent vs 31% citywide. Average rent: $893 vs $1,661.
Q3

What is the average rent in Valley Creek?

Average gross rent in Valley Creek is $893/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 33% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Valley Creek residents are renters?

13% of Valley Creek households are renter-occupied (vs 37% in Clayton). The neighborhood has 7,635 residents.
Q5

Is Valley Creek a high social-vulnerability area?

Valley Creek sits in the 38th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Valley Creek have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Valley Creek is census tract 37101041104 (score 3.5/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 2.5 to 3.5, a spread of 1 points.
Q7

How safe is Valley Creek for landlords?

Valley Creek carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.3/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Clayton as a whole (2.4/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Valley Creek?

Valley Creek has 7,810 residents (White-Black Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (53.4%), Black (non-Hispanic) (23.3%), Hispanic / Latino (20.4%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Clayton

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Valley Creek.

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