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Neighborhood · Clayton, NC

Valley Creek Eviction Risk: Moderate

2 census tracts · pop 7,635 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.8/10 · range 3.7–5.1

Valley Creek takes in 2 census tracts of Clayton, NC, population 7,635. The Eviction Risk Score is 4.8/10, in the Moderate tier. Average gross rent is $893, 46% below the Clayton average of $1,661.

Pulling the other way is supply constraint, at 1/10. Severe burden reaches 18%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. The 2 tracts inside this boundary do not behave alike. Individual scores run 3.7 to 5.1, a 1.4-point gap wide enough that the area average misleads on any specific address.

Running hot is tenant-organizing strength at 7.5/10. 33% of renters spend 30% or more of household income on rent.

On the softer side is eviction-process difficulty, at 2.7/10. At 13% renter-occupied, this is predominantly owner territory, and rental comps have to be drawn from further out. Rent takes 16% of average household income, comfortably inside the 30% line and unusually low for a rental sub-market.

For a specific building, read the per-tract breakdown below rather than the 4.8 headline, because the internal range is too wide to average safely. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
4.8
Moderate
2 tracts · population-weighted
Valley Creek vs Clayton How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
33.3% +6%
Clayton: 31.3%
Average gross rent
$893 -46%
Clayton: $1,661
Average HH income
$66,663 -9%
Clayton: $73,348
Poverty rate
13.8% +71%
Clayton: 8.1%
Renter share
12.6% -66%
Clayton: 37.3%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Valley Creek and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 3.7–5.1

Why Valley Creek scores 4.8

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 2.3–2.3 across tracts
2.3
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 3.8–3.8 across tracts
3.8
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 4.4–4.4 across tracts
4.4
Rent control risk
33% of income on rent · Range 6.8–6.8 across tracts
6.8
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 2.7–2.7 across tracts
2.7
Tenant organizing strength
13% renter households · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 5.6–5.6 across tracts
5.6
Economic stress
13.8% below poverty line · Range 2.0–3.9 across tracts
3.4
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Risk score comparison

Valley Creek vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Valley Creek score vs. parent city, state, U.S.4.8Valley CreekNeighborhood4.0Parent cityhost city3.9Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Valley Creek

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
37101041104 5.1 5,773 19% $872
37101040906 3.7 1,862 78% $958
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 38

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 64%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 4%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 58%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 44%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Valley Creek

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Valley Creek

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Valley Creek?

Valley Creek scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Valley Creek compare to Clayton overall?

Valley Creek scores 0.8 points higher than Clayton overall (4/10). Renters spend 33% of income on rent vs 31% citywide. Average rent: $893 vs $1,661.
Q3

What is the average rent in Valley Creek?

Average gross rent in Valley Creek is $893/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 33% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Valley Creek residents are renters?

13% of Valley Creek households are renter-occupied (vs 37% in Clayton). The neighborhood has 7,635 residents.
Q5

Is Valley Creek a high social-vulnerability area?

Valley Creek sits in the 38th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Valley Creek have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Valley Creek is census tract 37101041104 (score 5.1/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3.7 to 5.1, a spread of 1.4 points.
Q7

How safe is Valley Creek for landlords?

Valley Creek carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.8/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Clayton as a whole (4/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Valley Creek?

Valley Creek has 7,810 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (53.4%), Black (non-Hispanic) (23.3%), Hispanic / Latino (20.4%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Clayton

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Valley Creek.

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