Skip to content
Census Tract · Ranked #20,506 of 84,120 nationally

Selma Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 37101040301 · Johnston County, NC · pop 5,054 · 67% of tract blocks fall in Selma

Census tract 37101040301 covers part of Selma, NC, and scores 5.8/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 5,054 residents. Cost burden runs 51% here against 35.7% across Johnston County.

Risk score
5.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 24% Stable renters 23% Owners 53%
Tract context
Occupied units1,811
Renter share46.1%
SVI overall0.93
Poverty rate22.7%
Median income$53,717

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 3 tracts In Selma
Very High
Within county
98 th percentile
Rank, 98th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 53 tracts In Johnston County
Very High
Within state
97 th percentile
Rank, 97th percentileLowHigh
#75 of 2,660 tracts In North Carolina
Very High
National
76 th percentile
Rank, 76th percentileLowHigh
#20,506 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Selma and the region

Centroid at 35.5608, -78.2486 · click any tract to drill in

Why Selma scores 5.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Selma
4.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.8
State political climate
North Carolina legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
22.7% poverty · this tract
5.7
Supply constraint
$884 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Selma
8.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Selma
9.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Selma
8.6

How Selma compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Selma risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.8This tracttract 0403014.4Selmaparent city4.1Countyavg tract in county4.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 93

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1,419Total filings over 16 yrs
  • 10.42%Avg annual filing rate
  • 17.1%Peak (2002)
  • 80Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 37101040301
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 16 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Selma

What pushes it up most is tenant-organizing strength at 9.5/10. On the softer side, supply constraint reads 1/10.

On the high side, housing-court posture reads 8.6/10. It sits 1.7 points above the Johnston County average of 4.1.

The poverty rate is 23%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. The severe-burden share is 13%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 1,419 filings here across 16 tracked years.

The worst year on record was 2002, when 17.1% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 10.4% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 76th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 9.3/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the NC average is 4.0, so this tract runs 1.8 points hotter.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured. Average gross rent is $884, close to the Selma average.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 37101040301

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 37101040301?

Census tract 37101040301 in Selma scores 5.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 37101040301?

Median gross rent is $884/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 37101040301?

22.7% of residents in tract 37101040301 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,054.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 37101040301?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 93th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 74th, household 98th, minority 73th, housing 90th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 37101040301?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,419 eviction filings across 16 validated years in tract 37101040301 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 10.42% of renter households, peaking at 17.1% in 2002. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

What share of households in tract 37101040301 struggle to pay rent?

About 17.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 11.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 37101040301 compare to Selma overall?

Tract 37101040301 scores 5.8/10, higher than the parent city of Selma at 4.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Selma; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Selma

Top eight tracts in Selma ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Related