Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Census Tract · Ranked #20,506 of 84,120 nationally
Selma Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 37101040303 · Johnston County, NC · pop 3,725 · 85% of tract blocks fall in Selma
Census tract 37101040303 covers part of Selma, NC, and scores 5.8/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 3,725 residents. 41% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
5.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 33%
Stable renters 20%
Owners 47%
Tract context
Occupied units1,581
Renter share52.8%
SVI overall0.87
Poverty rate22.3%
Median income$33,750
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
100
th percentile
Very High
Within state
97
th percentile
Very High
National
76
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Selma and the region
Centroid at 35.5466, -78.2900 · click any tract to drill in
Why Selma scores 5.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Selma
4.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.8
State political climate
North Carolina legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
22.3% poverty · this tract
5.6
Supply constraint
$796 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Selma
8.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Selma
9.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Selma
8.6
How Selma compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 87
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 89%Socioeconomic
- 93%Household composition
- 81%Racial/ethnic minority
- 50%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 23.8%Housing insecurity
- 15.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 30.7%Food insecurity
- 26.0%SNAP enrollment
- 15.2%Transit barriers
- 21.7%No health insurance
- 19.0%Frequent mental distress
- 40.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Selma
62% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well clear of the Johnston County average of 35.7%. The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 9.5/10.
On the softer side, supply constraint reads 1/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, housing-court posture reads 8.6/10. It sits 1.7 points above the Johnston County average of 4.1.
The poverty rate is 22%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. SNAP participation runs 26.0% against 15.2% nationally. Housing insecurity runs 23.8% against 14.2% nationally.
That is riskier than roughly 76% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Social vulnerability reads 8.8/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
Statewide the NC average is 4.0, so this tract runs 1.8 points hotter.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 37101040303
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 37101040303?
Census tract 37101040303 in Selma scores 5.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 37101040303?
Median gross rent is $796/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 62% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 37101040303?
22.3% of residents in tract 37101040303 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,725.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 37101040303?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 87th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 89th, household 93th, minority 81th, housing 50th.
Q5
What share of households in tract 37101040303 struggle to pay rent?
About 23.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 15.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6
How does tract 37101040303 compare to Selma overall?
Tract 37101040303 scores 5.8/10, higher than the parent city of Selma at 4.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Selma; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Selma
Top eight tracts in Selma ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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