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Census Tract · Ranked #13,119 of 84,120 nationally

Smithfield Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 37101040600 · Johnston County, NC · pop 4,001 · 33% of tract blocks fall in Smithfield

Smithfield anchors census tract 37101040600, which lands at 6.5/10 on landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than roughly 86% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

54% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 32% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $537 a month against an average household income of $39,333 a year, roughly 16% of income at the averages. Renters make up 35% of occupied homes.

Risk score
5.9
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 19% Stable renters 16% Owners 65%
Tract context
Occupied units1,340
Renter share34.9%
SVI overall0.98
Poverty rate31.2%
Median income$39,333

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
75 th percentile
Rank, 75th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 5 tracts In Smithfield
High
Within county
98 th percentile
Rank, 98th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 53 tracts In Johnston County
Very High
Within state
97 th percentile
Rank, 97th percentileLowHigh
#90 of 2,660 tracts In North Carolina
Very High
National
84 th percentile
Rank, 84th percentileLowHigh
#13,119 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Smithfield and the region

Centroid at 35.4574, -78.2964 · click any tract to drill in

Why Smithfield scores 5.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Smithfield
4.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.8
State political climate
North Carolina legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
31.2% poverty · this tract
7.8
Supply constraint
$537 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Smithfield
7.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Smithfield
9.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Smithfield
8.5

How Smithfield compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Smithfield risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.95.9This tracttract 040600Smithfield: 2.92.9Smithfieldparent cityCounty: 3.43.4Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 98

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 989Total filings over 16 yrs
  • 11.18%Avg annual filing rate
  • 14.7%Peak (2013)
  • 47Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 371010406002001: 62 filings (11.38/100 renter HHs)2002: 85 filings (15.60/100 renter HHs)2003: 74 filings (13.58/100 renter HHs)2004: 56 filings (10.28/100 renter HHs)2005: 40 filings (7.71/100 renter HHs)2006: 49 filings (9.44/100 renter HHs)2007: 78 filings (15.03/100 renter HHs)2008: 66 filings (12.72/100 renter HHs)2009: 48 filings (9.25/100 renter HHs)2010: 75 filings (13.61/100 renter HHs)2011: 65 filings (11.13/100 renter HHs)2012: 56 filings (9.59/100 renter HHs)2013: 86 filings (14.73/100 renter HHs)2014: 51 filings (8.73/100 renter HHs)2015: 51 filings (8.73/100 renter HHs)2016: 47 filings (7.38/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 24% over the past 16 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Smithfield

The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 9.2/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Smithfield, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores well above the Johnston County average of 5.0 and above the North Carolina statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 20.2% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 14.4% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is Black and White and ranks around the 98th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 37101040600

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 37101040600?

Census tract 37101040600 in Smithfield scores 5.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 37101040600?

Median gross rent is $537/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 54% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 37101040600?

31.2% of residents in tract 37101040600 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,001.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 37101040600?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 98th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 93th, household 97th, minority 74th, housing 96th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 37101040600?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 989 eviction filings across 16 validated years in tract 37101040600 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 11.18% of renter households, peaking at 14.7% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

What share of households in tract 37101040600 struggle to pay rent?

About 20.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 14.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 37101040600 compare to Smithfield overall?

Tract 37101040600 scores 5.9/10, higher than the parent city of Smithfield at 2.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Smithfield; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Smithfield

Top eight tracts in Smithfield ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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