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Neighborhood · Charlotte, NC

Chapel Cove Eviction Risk: Lower

3 census tracts · pop 12,919 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3/10 · range 3–3

Chapel Cove spans 3 census tracts of Charlotte, NC and houses 12,919 people. The Eviction Risk Score is 3/10, in the Lower tier. The main counterweight is economic stress, at 1.2/10.

22% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate. Running cool is rent-regulation exposure, at 1.6/10. Against a Charlotte baseline of 29.9%, 38% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line.

Court records for this tract carry 14 eviction filings. Average gross rent is $1,812, 12% above the Charlotte average of $1,612. The worst year on record was 2014, when filings touched 13.2% of renter households.

SNAP participation is 7.0% of households versus 15.2% nationally. Recent filings have not receded much: 9.4% in 2015 against a 13.2% peak. That places it #93 of 111 neighborhoods in Charlotte.

At 17% renter-occupied, this is predominantly owner territory, and rental comps have to be drawn from further out. For a like-for-like read, Barclay Downs and Westmoreland score within a fraction of it. Rent takes 18% of average household income, comfortably inside the 30% line and unusually low for a rental sub-market.

With little internal variation, 3/10 is a fair proxy for any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
3
Lower
3 tracts · population-weighted
Chapel Cove vs Charlotte How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
37.5% +25%
Charlotte: 29.9%
Average gross rent
$1,812 +12%
Charlotte: $1,612
Average HH income
$118,046 +50%
Charlotte: $78,438
Poverty rate
3.9% -67%
Charlotte: 11.7%
Renter share
16.5% -66%
Charlotte: 49.0%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Chapel Cove and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 3 tracts span score 3–3

Why Chapel Cove scores 3

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 2.3–2.3 across tracts
2.3
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 6.8–6.8 across tracts
6.8
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 2.3–6.0 across tracts
5.3
Rent control risk
38% of income on rent · Range 1.5–2.3 across tracts
1.6
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.5–5.0 across tracts
3.8
Tenant organizing strength
17% renter households · Range 4.0–4.5 across tracts
4.4
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 3.5–5.0 across tracts
3.8
Economic stress
3.9% below poverty line · Range 1.0–1.6 across tracts
1.2
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.4–8.1 across tracts
4.9
Risk score comparison

Chapel Cove vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Chapel Cove score vs. parent city, state, U.S.3.0Chapel CoveNeighborhood4.0Parent cityhost city3.9Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Chapel Cove?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 0 points from 3 to 3. Tracts are relatively uniform, so conditions feel similar throughout the neighborhood.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

3 tracts in Chapel Cove

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
37119005924 3 6,696 30% $1,693
37119005922 3 3,932 36% $2,392
37119005908 3 2,291 63% $1,165
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 22

Pop-weighted across 3 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 34%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 41%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 70%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 5%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Chapel Cove

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 14Total filings (sum)
  • 7.97%Avg annual filing rate
  • 13.2%Peak year (2014)
  • 9.43%Latest filed (2015)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Chapel Cove

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Chapel Cove

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Chapel Cove?

Chapel Cove scores 3/10 (Lower tier) across 3 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Chapel Cove compare to Charlotte overall?

Chapel Cove scores 1.0 points lower than Charlotte overall (4/10). Renters spend 38% of income on rent vs 30% citywide. Average rent: $1,812 vs $1,612.
Q3

What is the average rent in Chapel Cove?

Average gross rent in Chapel Cove is $1,812/month (pop-weighted across 3 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 38% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Chapel Cove residents are renters?

17% of Chapel Cove households are renter-occupied (vs 49% in Charlotte). The neighborhood has 12,919 residents.
Q5

Is Chapel Cove a high social-vulnerability area?

Chapel Cove sits in the 22nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Chapel Cove have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Chapel Cove is census tract 37119005924 (score 3/10). Across the 3 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3 to 3, a spread of 0 points.
Q7

How safe is Chapel Cove for landlords?

Chapel Cove carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3/10). Pop-weighted across 3 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Charlotte as a whole (4/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Chapel Cove?

Chapel Cove has 13,446 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (39.4%), Black (non-Hispanic) (33.8%), Hispanic / Latino (15%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Chapel Cove

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Charlotte

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Chapel Cove.

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