Neighborhood · Charlotte, NC

Ayrsley Eviction Risk: Lower

5 census tracts · pop 24,146 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.6/10 · range 3.1–5.1

Ayrsley is a black-hispanic neighborhood in Charlotte with 5 census tracts and a population of 24,146 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 3.6/10 (Lower tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 45% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 18% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,568/month sits 3% lower than the Charlotte citywide average ($1,612).

Risk score

3.6

Lower

5 tracts · population-weighted

Ayrsley vs Charlotte How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

44.7% +49%

Charlotte: 29.9%

Average gross rent

$1,568 -3%

Charlotte: $1,612

Average HH income

$75,735 -3%

Charlotte: $78,438

Poverty rate

9.7% -17%

Charlotte: 11.7%

Renter share

55.2% +13%

Charlotte: 49.0%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Ayrsley and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 5 tracts span score 3.1–5.1

Why Ayrsley scores 3.6

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 2.3–2.3 across tracts

2.3

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 6.8–6.8 across tracts

6.8

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 6.0–6.0 across tracts

6.0

Rent control risk

45% of income on rent · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts

1.5

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts

3.5

Tenant organizing strength

55% renter households · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts

4.5

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts

3.5

Economic stress

9.7% below poverty line · Range 1.1–6.2 across tracts

2.4

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.4–4.1 across tracts

3.6

Risk score comparison

Ayrsley vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Ayrsley?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution

0246810

Spread of 2 points from 3.1 to 5.1. Moderate variation across constituent tracts.

Tracts as heat grid

5.1 4.5 3.3 3.2 3.1

Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.

Census tracts

5 tracts in Ayrsley

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
37119003809	5.1	3,777	68%	$1,644
37119005916	4.5	2,567	57%	$1,355
37119005915	3.3	2,828	34%	$1,595
37119005913	3.2	6,822	46%	$1,482
37119005927	3.1	8,152	33%	$1,663

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 63

Pop-weighted across 5 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 64%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 41%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 86%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 58%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Ayrsley

Aggregated across 3 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

1,202Total filings (sum)
14.64%Avg annual filing rate
52.8%Peak year (2014)
10.19%Latest filed (2016)

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Ayrsley

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

17.7%Housing insecurity
11.2%Utility shutoff threat
21.2%Food insecurity
16.1%SNAP enrollment
14.4%No health insurance
29.7%Any disability

Frequently asked

About Ayrsley

What is the eviction-risk score for Ayrsley?

Ayrsley scores 3.6/10 (Lower tier) across 5 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Ayrsley compare to Charlotte overall?

Ayrsley scores 0.4 points higher than Charlotte overall (3.2/10). Renters spend 45% of income on rent vs 30% citywide. Average rent: $1,568 vs $1,612.

What is the average rent in Ayrsley?

Average gross rent in Ayrsley is $1,568/month (pop-weighted across 5 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 45% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Ayrsley residents are renters?

55% of Ayrsley households are renter-occupied (vs 49% in Charlotte). The neighborhood has 24,146 residents.

Is Ayrsley a high social-vulnerability area?

Ayrsley sits in the 63rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

Which tracts in Ayrsley have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Ayrsley is census tract 37119003809 (score 5.1/10). Across the 5 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3.1 to 5.1, a spread of 2 points.

How safe is Ayrsley for landlords?

Ayrsley carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.6/10). Pop-weighted across 5 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Charlotte as a whole (3.2/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of Ayrsley?

Ayrsley has 24,864 residents (Black-Hispanic Neighborhood). Top groups: Black (non-Hispanic) (43.3%), Hispanic / Latino (25%), White (non-Hispanic) (17%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Ayrsley

5 Yorkmount Park 3 tracts · pop 11,725 3.5 Yorkshire 5 tracts · pop 19,547 2.9 Shopton 2 tracts · pop 5,770 3.8 Starmount 5 tracts · pop 21,710 2.2 Chapel Cove 3 tracts · pop 12,919 3.6 Montclaire 2 tracts · pop 8,425

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Charlotte

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Ayrsley.

3.6 Glenwood 2 tracts · pop 5,751 3.6 Montclaire 2 tracts · pop 8,425 3.6 Embassy East 2 tracts · pop 5,375 3.6 Plaza Hills 7 tracts · pop 22,860 3.6 Colonial Village 5 tracts · pop 14,501 3.6 Spring Lake 1 tracts · pop 4,566

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