Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally
College Downs Eviction Risk: Moderate , Charlotte
Tract 37119005604 · Mecklenburg County, NC · pop 5,808 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi
With a score of 5.4/10, tract 37119005604 in the College Downs area of Charlotte, NC reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 5,808. Severe burden reaches 40%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 50%
Stable renters 32%
Owners 18%
Tract context
Occupied units1,035
Renter share81.6%
SVI overall0.57
Poverty rate41.0%
Median income$36,568
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
93
th percentile
Very High
Within county
97
th percentile
Very High
Within state
92
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Charlotte and the region
Centroid at 35.3040, -80.7391 · click any tract to drill in
Why College Downs scores 5.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Charlotte
6.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.8
State political climate
North Carolina legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
41.0% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$1,044 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Charlotte
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Charlotte
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Charlotte
3.5
How College Downs compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 57
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 67%Socioeconomic
- 1%Household composition
- 68%Racial/ethnic minority
- 98%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 355Total filings over 4 yrs
- 17.78%Avg annual filing rate
- 24.4%Peak (2016)
- 132Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 230% over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within College Downs. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 15.9%Housing insecurity
- 10.8%Utility-shutoff threat
- 23.6%Food insecurity
- 17.0%SNAP enrollment
- 16.0%Transit barriers
- 11.0%No health insurance
- 25.7%Frequent mental distress
- 33.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in College Downs
What pushes it up most is economic stress at 10/10. Cost burden runs 61% here against 45.3% across Mecklenburg County. The poverty rate is 41%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.
Running hot, court filing pressure reads 9.5/10. Average gross rent is $1,044, 35% below the Charlotte average. This is renter territory: 82% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.
Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1/10. Set annual rent against average income of $36,568 and the ratio lands at 34%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. It sits 1.4 points above the Mecklenburg County average of 4.0.
Court records carry 355 eviction filings across 4 observed years. The worst year on record was 2016, when 24.4% of renter households were served.
In a typical year about 17.8% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 70% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
Social vulnerability reads 6.1/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 37119005604
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 37119005604?
Census tract 37119005604 in the College Downs neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 37119005604?
Median gross rent is $1,044/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 61% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 37119005604?
41.0% of residents in tract 37119005604 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,808.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 37119005604?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 57th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 67th, household 1th, minority 68th, housing 98th.
Q5
Is tract 37119005604 considered part of College Downs?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 37119005604 fall within College Downs (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 37119005604?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 355 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 37119005604 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 17.78% of renter households, peaking at 24.4% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 37119005604 struggle to pay rent?
About 15.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 37119005604 compare to Charlotte overall?
Tract 37119005604 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Charlotte at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Charlotte eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Charlotte
Top eight tracts in Charlotte ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · NC
Dalton Village
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
Knollwood Acres
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
Plaza Hills
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
Lynn Lee
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
Winterfield
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
Lake Forest
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
Dalton Village
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
Shannon Park
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
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