Neighborhood · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally
Ayrsley Eviction Risk: Moderate , Charlotte
Tract 37119003809 ·
Mecklenburg County, NC · pop 3,777 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi
Tract 37119003809 sits in the Ayrsley area of Charlotte eviction risk, NC, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5.4/10. Population here is 3,777. 68% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well clear of the Mecklenburg County average of 45.3%.
Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 33%Stable renters 16%Owners 51%
Tract context
Occupied units1,372
Renter share48.3%
SVI overall0.88
Poverty rate24.7%
Median income$54,635
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100th percentile
#1 of 5 tracts In Ayrsley
Very High
Within parent city
86th percentile
#37 of 255 tracts In Charlotte
High
Within county
89th percentile
#35 of 305 tracts In Mecklenburg County
High
Within state
92th percentile
#217 of 2,660 tracts In North Carolina
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Charlotte and the region
Centroid at 35.1517, -80.9177 · click any tract to drill in
Why Ayrsley scores 5.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Charlotte
6.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.8
State political climate
North Carolina legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
24.7% poverty · this tract
6.2
Supply constraint
$1,644 rent vs county FMR
4.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Charlotte
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Charlotte
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Charlotte
3.5
How Ayrsley compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 88
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
21.6%Housing insecurity
14.0%Utility-shutoff threat
28.2%Food insecurity
22.8%SNAP enrollment
13.8%Transit barriers
18.5%No health insurance
18.2%Frequent mental distress
35.6%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Ayrsley
The dominant input is court filing pressure at 9.5/10. Set annual rent against average income of $54,635 and the ratio lands at 36%, above the conventional 30% ceiling.
Running cool, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10. 20% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. The poverty rate is 25%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.
Against the Mecklenburg County average of 4.0, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.4 points. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 2.3/10. Food insecurity runs 28.2% against 17.8% nationally.
Adults with no health insurance runs 18.5% against 11.3% nationally. Nationally it ranks #24,859 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 8.9/10.
Statewide the NC average is 4.0, so this tract runs 1.4 points hotter. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 37119003809
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 37119003809?
Census tract 37119003809 in the Ayrsley neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 37119003809?
Median gross rent is $1,644/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 68% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 37119003809?
24.7% of residents in tract 37119003809 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,777.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 37119003809?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 88th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 83th, household 87th, minority 85th, housing 74th.
Q5
Is tract 37119003809 considered part of Ayrsley?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 37119003809 fall within Ayrsley (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 37119003809 struggle to pay rent?
About 21.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 14.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 37119003809 compare to Charlotte overall?
Tract 37119003809 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Charlotte at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Charlotte eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Charlotte
Top eight tracts in Charlotte ranked by composite eviction-risk score.