Franklin-Rosemary Historic District Eviction Risk: Elevated , Chapel Hill
Tract 37135011601 ·
Orange County, NC · pop 2,134 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
Landlord eviction risk in census tract 37135011601 (the Franklin-Rosemary Historic District area of Chapel Hill, North Carolina) comes in at 5.1/10, the Moderate tier. On the national scale it ranks #49,119 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
0% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a modest level, and 0% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Renters make up 100% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
6.3
Elevated
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 0%Stable renters 100%Owners 0%
Tract context
Occupied units8
Renter share100.0%
SVI overall0.07
Poverty rate100.0%
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50th percentile
#1 of 1 tracts In Franklin-Rosemary Historic District
Moderate
Within parent city
94th percentile
#2 of 17 tracts In Chapel Hill
Very High
Within county
98th percentile
#2 of 42 tracts In Orange County
Very High
Within state
100th percentile
#6 of 2,660 tracts In North Carolina
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Chapel Hill and the region
Centroid at 35.9113, -79.0502 · click any tract to drill in
Why Franklin-Rosemary Historic District scores 6.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Chapel Hill
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.6
State political climate
North Carolina legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
100.0% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
tract rent vs county FMR
5.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chapel Hill
2.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chapel Hill
6.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chapel Hill
4.0
How Franklin-Rosemary Historic District compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 7
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
24%Socioeconomic
0%Household composition
51%Racial/ethnic minority
38%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
12Total filings over 8 yrs
2.00%Avg annual filing rate
8.8%Peak (2011)
1Filings in 2013 (latest validated)
Filings by year2002 to 2015
Filings dropped 100% over the past 13 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
25.0%Housing insecurity
21.1%Utility-shutoff threat
46.8%Food insecurity
46.7%SNAP enrollment
31.4%Transit barriers
15.8%No health insurance
34.0%Frequent mental distress
49.4%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Franklin-Rosemary Historic District
The score leans hardest on economic stress at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Chapel Hill eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Orange County average of 5.4 and in line with the North Carolina statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 12 eviction filings here over 8 tracked years, with about 2.0% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 8.8% of renter households in 2011.
The tract is White and Asian and ranks around the 7th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 37135011601
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 37135011601?
Census tract 37135011601 in the Franklin-Rosemary Historic District neighborhood scores 6.3/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the poverty rate in tract 37135011601?
100.0% of residents in tract 37135011601 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,134.
Q3
How socially vulnerable is tract 37135011601?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 7th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 24th, household 0th, minority 51th, housing 38th.
Q4
Is tract 37135011601 considered part of Franklin-Rosemary Historic District?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 37135011601 fall within Franklin-Rosemary Historic District (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 37135011601?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 12 eviction filings across 8 validated years in tract 37135011601 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.00% of renter households, peaking at 8.8% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
What share of households in tract 37135011601 struggle to pay rent?
About 25.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 21.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 37135011601 compare to Chapel Hill overall?
Tract 37135011601 scores 6.3/10, higher than the parent city of Chapel Hill at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chapel Hill eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Chapel Hill
Top eight tracts in Chapel Hill ranked by composite eviction-risk score.