Neighborhood · Ranked #13,119 of 84,120 nationally
Mount Bolus Eviction Risk: Moderate , Chapel Hill
Tract 37135011400 ·
Orange County, NC · pop 3,754 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi
Census tract 37135011400 belongs to the Mount Bolus area of Chapel Hill, North Carolina. It is home to 3,754 residents and scores 6.3/10, an elevated reading for landlords. That is riskier than about 82% of US census tracts.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 60% of renter households, a severe level, and 53% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,554 monthly, set against $57,736 in average yearly household income, roughly 32% of income at the averages. Renters make up 58% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
5.9
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 35%Stable renters 23%Owners 42%
Tract context
Occupied units1,318
Renter share57.7%
SVI overall0.31
Poverty rate37.5%
Median income$57,736
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50th percentile
#1 of 1 tracts In Mount Bolus
Moderate
Within parent city
75th percentile
#5 of 17 tracts In Chapel Hill
High
Within county
90th percentile
#5 of 42 tracts In Orange County
Very High
Within state
97th percentile
#90 of 2,660 tracts In North Carolina
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Chapel Hill and the region
Centroid at 35.9273, -79.0477 · click any tract to drill in
Why Mount Bolus scores 5.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Chapel Hill
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.6
State political climate
North Carolina legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
37.5% poverty · this tract
9.4
Supply constraint
$1,554 rent vs county FMR
3.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chapel Hill
2.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chapel Hill
6.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chapel Hill
4.0
How Mount Bolus compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 31
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
54%Socioeconomic
1%Household composition
51%Racial/ethnic minority
67%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
125Total filings over 13 yrs
0.94%Avg annual filing rate
1.6%Peak (2002)
7Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings by year2002 to 2015
Filings dropped 59% over the past 13 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
10.4%Housing insecurity
7.6%Utility-shutoff threat
15.6%Food insecurity
12.0%SNAP enrollment
10.6%Transit barriers
8.0%No health insurance
21.3%Frequent mental distress
31.4%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Mount Bolus
What moves this score most is economic stress at 9.4/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Chapel Hill eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Orange County average of 5.4 and above the North Carolina statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 10.4% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 7.6% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 125 eviction filings here over 13 tracked years, with about 0.9% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 1.6% of renter households in 2002.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 37135011400
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 37135011400?
Census tract 37135011400 in the Mount Bolus neighborhood scores 5.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 37135011400?
Median gross rent is $1,554/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 60% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 37135011400?
37.5% of residents in tract 37135011400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,754.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 37135011400?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 31th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 54th, household 1th, minority 51th, housing 67th.
Q5
Is tract 37135011400 considered part of Mount Bolus?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 37135011400 fall within Mount Bolus (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 37135011400?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 125 eviction filings across 13 validated years in tract 37135011400 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 0.94% of renter households, peaking at 1.6% in 2002. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 37135011400 struggle to pay rent?
About 10.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 37135011400 compare to Chapel Hill overall?
Tract 37135011400 scores 5.9/10, higher than the parent city of Chapel Hill at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chapel Hill eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Chapel Hill
Top eight tracts in Chapel Hill ranked by composite eviction-risk score.