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Neighborhood · Chapel Hill, NC

Northside Eviction Risk: Elevated

1 census tracts · pop 2,750 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 6.2/10 · range 6.2–6.2

Northside is a white-black neighborhood in Chapel Hill with 1 census tract and a population of 2,750 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 6.2/10 (Elevated tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 76% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 52% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,337/month sits 17% lower than the Chapel Hill citywide average ($1,613).

Risk score
6.2
Elevated
1 tracts · population-weighted
Northside vs Chapel Hill How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
75.7% +110%
Chapel Hill: 36.0%
Average gross rent
$1,337 -17%
Chapel Hill: $1,613
Average HH income
$35,017 -59%
Chapel Hill: $85,825
Poverty rate
66.4% +239%
Chapel Hill: 19.6%
Renter share
74.1% +41%
Chapel Hill: 52.6%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Northside and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 6.2–6.2

Why Northside scores 6.2

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 2.3–2.3 across tracts
2.3
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 7.6–7.6 across tracts
7.6
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Rent control risk
76% of income on rent · Range 2.5–2.5 across tracts
2.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 4.0–4.0 across tracts
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
74% renter households · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts
6.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 4.0–4.0 across tracts
4.0
Economic stress
66.4% below poverty line · Range 10.0–10.0 across tracts
10.0
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.1–2.1 across tracts
2.1
Risk score comparison

Northside vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Northside score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Northside: 6.26.2NorthsideNeighborhoodParent city: 3.43.4Parent cityhost cityState: 2.92.9Stateavg in stateU.S.: 4.74.7U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Northside

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
37135011300 6.2 2,750 76% $1,337
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 54

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 93%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 2%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 54%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 51%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Northside

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 788Total filings (sum)
  • 6.26%Avg annual filing rate
  • 8.2%Peak year (2007)
  • 3.17%Latest filed (2015)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Northside

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Northside

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Northside?

Northside scores 6.2/10 (Elevated tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Northside compare to Chapel Hill overall?

Northside scores 2.8 points higher than Chapel Hill overall (3.4/10). Renters spend 76% of income on rent vs 36% citywide. Average rent: $1,337 vs $1,613.
Q3

What is the average rent in Northside?

Average gross rent in Northside is $1,337/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 76% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Northside residents are renters?

74% of Northside households are renter-occupied (vs 53% in Chapel Hill). The neighborhood has 2,750 residents.
Q5

Is Northside a high social-vulnerability area?

Northside sits in the 54th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Northside for landlords?

Northside carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (6.2/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Chapel Hill as a whole (3.4/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Northside?

Northside has 2,882 residents (White-Black Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (57.8%), Black (non-Hispanic) (24.3%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (11.5%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Northside

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Chapel Hill

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Northside.

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