Neighborhood · Chapel Hill, NC

Turnberry Eviction Risk: Moderate

1 census tracts · pop 3,730 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.4/10 · range 4.4–4.4

Turnberry is a white-hispanic neighborhood in Chapel Hill with 1 census tract and a population of 3,730 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 4.4/10 (Moderate tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 49% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 11% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,092/month sits 32% lower than the Chapel Hill citywide average ($1,613).

Risk score

4.4

Moderate

1 tracts · population-weighted

Turnberry vs Chapel Hill How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

49.3% +37%

Chapel Hill: 36.0%

Average gross rent

$1,092 -32%

Chapel Hill: $1,613

Average HH income

$56,250 -34%

Chapel Hill: $85,825

Poverty rate

9.9% -49%

Chapel Hill: 19.6%

Renter share

63.1% +20%

Chapel Hill: 52.6%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Turnberry and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 4.4–4.4

Why Turnberry scores 4.4

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 2.3–2.3 across tracts

2.3

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 7.6–7.6 across tracts

7.6

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts

7.5

Rent control risk

49% of income on rent · Range 2.5–2.5 across tracts

2.5

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 4.0–4.0 across tracts

4.0

Tenant organizing strength

63% renter households · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts

6.5

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 4.0–4.0 across tracts

4.0

Economic stress

9.9% below poverty line · Range 2.5–2.5 across tracts

2.5

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts

1.0

Risk score comparison

Turnberry vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Census tracts

1 tracts in Turnberry

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
37135012101	4.4	3,730	49%	$1,092

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 88

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 73%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 83%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 79%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 90%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Turnberry

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

10.1%Housing insecurity
6.2%Utility shutoff threat
13.1%Food insecurity
9.0%SNAP enrollment
9.7%No health insurance
27.3%Any disability

Frequently asked

About Turnberry

What is the eviction-risk score for Turnberry?

Turnberry scores 4.4/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Turnberry compare to Chapel Hill overall?

Turnberry scores 1.0 points higher than Chapel Hill overall (3.4/10). Renters spend 49% of income on rent vs 36% citywide. Average rent: $1,092 vs $1,613.

What is the average rent in Turnberry?

Average gross rent in Turnberry is $1,092/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Turnberry residents are renters?

63% of Turnberry households are renter-occupied (vs 53% in Chapel Hill). The neighborhood has 3,730 residents.

Is Turnberry a high social-vulnerability area?

Turnberry sits in the 88th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

How safe is Turnberry for landlords?

Turnberry carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.4/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Chapel Hill as a whole (3.4/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of Turnberry?

Turnberry has 3,387 residents (White-Hispanic Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (38.3%), Hispanic / Latino (26.5%), Black (non-Hispanic) (21%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Turnberry

2.6 Havenstone 2 tracts · pop 5,237

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Chapel Hill

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Turnberry.

3.7 Clark Hills 1 tracts · pop 4,572 3.6 Rogerson 1 tracts · pop 2,536 3.5 SpringCrest 1 tracts · pop 3,640 3.5 Glendale 1 tracts · pop 2,042 3.5 Highgrove 1 tracts · pop 4,391 3.4 Northwood 1 tracts · pop 4,375

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