Chapel Ridge Eviction Risk: Lower

Pulling the other way is economic stress, at 1/10. On the softer side is eviction-process difficulty, at 1.9/10. Severe burden reaches 14%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears.

The voucher gap is 17.5%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears. CDC survey data puts housing insecurity at 6.1% of adults, against 14.2% nationally.

The filing record is not thin: 6 evictions logged in this tract. 3.8% of adults report being unable to pay a utility bill, below a 9.2% national figure. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. The worst year on record was 2015, when filings touched 2.1% of renter households.

At $2,071 a month, rents sit 9% over what the rest of Apex commands. Recent filings have not receded much: 1.5% in 2016 against a 2.1% peak.

Among the 11 mapped neighborhoods of Apex, it ranks #3 by risk, the upper third.

One tract means one number: 3/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.