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Neighborhood · Cary, NC

Heritage Pines Eviction Risk: Lower

1 census tracts · pop 4,847 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3/10 · range 3–3

Heritage Pines is a one-tract neighborhood of Cary, NC, population 4,847. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 3/10, Lower tier. The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure, at 1/10.

Running cool is economic stress, at 1/10. 16% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, below the Cary rate of 24.9%. Food insecurity affects 5.7% of adults, 12.1 points below the national rate.

Court records for this tract carry 15 eviction filings. On the softer side is eviction-process difficulty, at 2.5/10.

Disability prevalence reaches 18.8% against a 31.5% national average, which raises the odds a reasonable-accommodation request accompanies any dispute. The worst year on record was 2016, when filings touched 1.9% of renter households. Among the 39 mapped neighborhoods of Cary, it ranks #11 by risk, the upper third.

Judgments average 0.3% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order. For a like-for-like read, Wellsley and Marquis at Cary Parkway score within a fraction of it.

Against average income of $161,786, annual rent is only 13%, a wide affordability cushion. Poverty sits at 2%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

Average gross rent runs $1,708, close to the Cary average.

Because the boundary contains one tract, 3/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
3
Lower
1 tracts · population-weighted
Heritage Pines vs Cary How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
15.9% -36%
Cary: 24.9%
Average gross rent
$1,708 -2%
Cary: $1,738
Average HH income
$161,786 +25%
Cary: $129,399
Poverty rate
2.3% -56%
Cary: 5.3%
Renter share
30.0% -10%
Cary: 33.4%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Heritage Pines and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 3–3

Why Heritage Pines scores 3

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 2.3–2.3 across tracts
2.3
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 6.3–6.3 across tracts
6.3
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts
3.5
Rent control risk
16% of income on rent · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 2.5–2.5 across tracts
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
30% renter households · Range 2.5–2.5 across tracts
2.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 3.0–3.0 across tracts
3.0
Economic stress
2.3% below poverty line · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 4.7–4.7 across tracts
4.7
Risk score comparison

Heritage Pines vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Heritage Pines score vs. parent city, state, U.S.3.0Heritage PinesNeighborhood3.4Parent cityhost city3.9Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Heritage Pines

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕ Score↕ Pop↕ % over 30% on rent↕ Average rent↕
37183053603 3 4,847 16% $1,708
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 9

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 7%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 30%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 64%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 9%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Heritage Pines

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 15Total filings (sum)
  • 1.96%Avg annual filing rate
  • 1.9%Peak year (2016)
  • 1.91%Latest filed (2016)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Heritage Pines

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Heritage Pines

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Heritage Pines?

Heritage Pines scores 3/10 (Lower tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Heritage Pines compare to Cary overall?

Heritage Pines scores 0.4 points lower than Cary overall (3.4/10). Renters spend 16% of income on rent vs 25% citywide. Average rent: $1,708 vs $1,738.
Q3

What is the average rent in Heritage Pines?

Average gross rent in Heritage Pines is $1,708/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 16% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Heritage Pines residents are renters?

30% of Heritage Pines households are renter-occupied (vs 33% in Cary). The neighborhood has 4,847 residents.
Q5

Is Heritage Pines a high social-vulnerability area?

Heritage Pines sits in the 9th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Heritage Pines for landlords?

Heritage Pines carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Cary as a whole (3.4/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Heritage Pines?

Heritage Pines has 4,879 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (56.3%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (31.1%), Hispanic / Latino (5.9%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Heritage Pines

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Cary

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Heritage Pines.

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