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Neighborhood · Cary, NC

Rustic Mill Eviction Risk: Lower

1 census tracts · pop 5,856 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3/10 · range 3–3

Rustic Mill is a one-tract neighborhood of Cary, NC, population 5,856. Scored across those inputs it reaches 3/10, placing it in the Lower tier. The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure, at 1/10.

On the softer side is economic stress, at 1/10. The voucher gap is 27.6%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears.

Average gross rent is $2,250, 29% above the Cary average of $1,738. On the high side is supply constraint at 7.8/10. CDC survey data puts housing insecurity at 5.9% of adults, against 14.2% nationally.

Food insecurity affects 6.2% of adults, 11.6 points below the national rate. 29% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, marginally above the Cary rate of 24.9%.

That places it #11 of 39 neighborhoods in Cary. At 5% renter-occupied, this is predominantly owner territory, and rental comps have to be drawn from further out. Rent takes 19% of average household income, comfortably inside the 30% line and unusually low for a rental sub-market.

Poverty sits at 1%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

One tract means one number: 3/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
3
Lower
1 tracts · population-weighted
Rustic Mill vs Cary How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
28.7% +15%
Cary: 24.9%
Average gross rent
$2,250 +29%
Cary: $1,738
Average HH income
$138,924 +7%
Cary: $129,399
Poverty rate
0.7% -87%
Cary: 5.3%
Renter share
5.0% -85%
Cary: 33.4%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Rustic Mill and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 3–3

Why Rustic Mill scores 3

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 2.3–2.3 across tracts
2.3
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 6.3–6.3 across tracts
6.3
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts
3.5
Rent control risk
29% of income on rent · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 2.5–2.5 across tracts
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
5% renter households · Range 2.5–2.5 across tracts
2.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 3.0–3.0 across tracts
3.0
Economic stress
0.7% below poverty line · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 7.8–7.8 across tracts
7.8
Risk score comparison

Rustic Mill vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Rustic Mill score vs. parent city, state, U.S.3.0Rustic MillNeighborhood3.4Parent cityhost city3.9Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Rustic Mill

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
37183053210 3 5,856 29% $2,250
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 7

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 1%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 6%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 36%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 42%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Rustic Mill

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Rustic Mill

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Rustic Mill?

Rustic Mill scores 3/10 (Lower tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Rustic Mill compare to Cary overall?

Rustic Mill scores 0.4 points lower than Cary overall (3.4/10). Renters spend 29% of income on rent vs 25% citywide. Average rent: $2,250 vs $1,738.
Q3

What is the average rent in Rustic Mill?

Average gross rent in Rustic Mill is $2,250/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 29% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Rustic Mill residents are renters?

5% of Rustic Mill households are renter-occupied (vs 33% in Cary). The neighborhood has 5,856 residents.
Q5

Is Rustic Mill a high social-vulnerability area?

Rustic Mill sits in the 7th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Rustic Mill for landlords?

Rustic Mill carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Cary as a whole (3.4/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Rustic Mill?

Rustic Mill has 5,811 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (79.8%), Hispanic / Latino (10.8%), Other / Multiracial (5.6%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Rustic Mill

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Cary

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Rustic Mill.

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