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Neighborhood · Cary, NC

Waterford Eviction Risk: Lower

1 census tracts · pop 4,390 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3/10 · range 3–3

Waterford is a one-tract neighborhood of Cary, NC, population 4,390. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 3/10, in the Lower tier. The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure, at 1/10.

74% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building two streets over. Rent consumes at least 30% of income for 28% of renter households. On the softer side is economic stress, at 1.4/10.

SNAP participation is 3.2% of households versus 15.2% nationally. 12% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate. Running cool is eviction-process difficulty, at 2.5/10.

3.5% of adults report being unable to pay a utility bill, below a 9.2% national figure. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. At $1,541 a month, rents sit 11% under what the rest of Cary commands. That places it #11 of 39 neighborhoods in Cary.

Against average income of $147,742, annual rent is only 13%, a wide affordability cushion. Poverty sits at 5%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

Because the boundary contains one tract, 3/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
3
Lower
1 tracts · population-weighted
Waterford vs Cary How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
27.7% +11%
Cary: 24.9%
Average gross rent
$1,541 -11%
Cary: $1,738
Average HH income
$147,742 +14%
Cary: $129,399
Poverty rate
5.4% +2%
Cary: 5.3%
Renter share
74.2% +122%
Cary: 33.4%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Waterford and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 3–3

Why Waterford scores 3

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 2.3–2.3 across tracts
2.3
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 6.3–6.3 across tracts
6.3
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts
3.5
Rent control risk
28% of income on rent · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 2.5–2.5 across tracts
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
74% renter households · Range 2.5–2.5 across tracts
2.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 3.0–3.0 across tracts
3.0
Economic stress
5.4% below poverty line · Range 1.4–1.4 across tracts
1.4
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 3.7–3.7 across tracts
3.7
Risk score comparison

Waterford vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Waterford score vs. parent city, state, U.S.3.0WaterfordNeighborhood3.4Parent cityhost city3.9Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Waterford

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
37183053618 3 4,390 28% $1,541
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 11

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 20%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 1%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 86%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 32%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Waterford

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Waterford

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Waterford?

Waterford scores 3/10 (Lower tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Waterford compare to Cary overall?

Waterford scores 0.4 points lower than Cary overall (3.4/10). Renters spend 28% of income on rent vs 25% citywide. Average rent: $1,541 vs $1,738.
Q3

What is the average rent in Waterford?

Average gross rent in Waterford is $1,541/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 28% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Waterford residents are renters?

74% of Waterford households are renter-occupied (vs 33% in Cary). The neighborhood has 4,390 residents.
Q5

Is Waterford a high social-vulnerability area?

Waterford sits in the 11th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Waterford for landlords?

Waterford carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Cary as a whole (3.4/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Waterford?

Waterford has 4,629 residents. Top groups: Asian (non-Hispanic) (60.1%), White (non-Hispanic) (20.6%), Black (non-Hispanic) (16.2%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Waterford

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Cary

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Waterford.

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