Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #80,791 of 84,120 nationally
Cascade at Twin Lakes Eviction Risk: Lower , Morrisville
Tract 37183053612 · Wake County, NC · pop 3,089 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
With a score of 4.7/10, tract 37183053612 in the Cascade at Twin Lakes neighborhood of Morrisville ranks in the Moderate tier for landlord eviction risk. The tract is home to 3,089 residents. That is riskier than about 28% of US census tracts.
About 18% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a modest level, and 5% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,647 a month against an average household income of $139,940 a year, roughly 14% of income at the averages. About 58% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
1.3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 10%
Stable renters 48%
Owners 42%
Tract context
Occupied units1,137
Renter share58.3%
SVI overall0.22
Poverty rate4.5%
Median income$139,940
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
75
th percentile
High
Within county
20
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
3
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Morrisville and the region
Centroid at 35.8332, -78.8341 · click any tract to drill in
Why Cascade at Twin Lakes scores 1.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Morrisville
6.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.3
State political climate
North Carolina legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
4.5% poverty · this tract
1.1
Supply constraint
$1,647 rent vs county FMR
4.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Morrisville
2.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Morrisville
9.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Morrisville
3.0
How Cascade at Twin Lakes compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 22
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 4%Socioeconomic
- 25%Household composition
- 81%Racial/ethnic minority
- 49%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 6.2%Housing insecurity
- 3.6%Utility-shutoff threat
- 7.4%Food insecurity
- 3.9%SNAP enrollment
- 4.2%Transit barriers
- 5.4%No health insurance
- 11.6%Frequent mental distress
- 15.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Cascade at Twin Lakes
What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 9.2/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Morrisville eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Wake County average of 5.3 and below the North Carolina statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 6.2% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 3.6% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
The tract is Asian and White and ranks around the 22nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 37183053612
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 37183053612?
Census tract 37183053612 in the Cascade at Twin Lakes neighborhood scores 1.3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 37183053612?
Median gross rent is $1,647/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 18% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 37183053612?
4.5% of residents in tract 37183053612 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,089.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 37183053612?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 22th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 4th, household 25th, minority 81th, housing 49th.
Q5
Is tract 37183053612 considered part of Cascade at Twin Lakes?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 37183053612 fall within Cascade at Twin Lakes (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 37183053612 struggle to pay rent?
About 6.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 37183053612 compare to Morrisville overall?
Tract 37183053612 scores 1.3/10, lower than the parent city of Morrisville at 2.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Morrisville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Morrisville
Top eight tracts in Morrisville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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