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Neighborhood · Ranked #82,639 of 84,120 nationally

Downing Village Eviction Risk: Lower , Morrisville

Tract 37183053611 · Wake County, NC · pop 7,344 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

For landlords sizing up the Downing Village neighborhood of Morrisville, census tract 37183053611 carries a moderate eviction-risk score of $1/10. That is riskier than about 38% of US census tracts.

25% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a moderate level, and 10% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,828 a month while the average household earns $148,904 a year, roughly 15% of income at the averages. About 26% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
1.1
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 7% Stable renters 20% Owners 73%
Tract context
Occupied units2,571
Renter share26.3%
SVI overall0.15
Poverty rate1.4%
Median income$148,904

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Downing Village
Moderate
Within parent city
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#5 of 5 tracts In Morrisville
Very Low
Within county
5 th percentile
Rank, 5th percentileLowHigh
#218 of 230 tracts In Wake County
Very Low
Within state
1 th percentile
Rank, 1st percentileLowHigh
#2,624 of 2,660 tracts In North Carolina
Very Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Morrisville and the region

Centroid at 35.8258, -78.8413 · click any tract to drill in

Why Downing Village scores 1.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Morrisville
6.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.3
State political climate
North Carolina legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
1.4% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,828 rent vs county FMR
5.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Morrisville
2.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Morrisville
9.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Morrisville
3.0

How Downing Village compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Downing Village risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 1.11.1This tracttract 053611Morrisville: 2.42.4Morrisvilleparent cityCounty: 2.52.5Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 15

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Downing Village

The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 9.2/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Morrisville eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Wake County average of 5.3 and in line with the North Carolina statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

The tract is Asian and White and ranks around the 15th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

In CDC survey modeling, about 5.8% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 3.4% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 37183053611

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 37183053611?

Census tract 37183053611 in the Downing Village neighborhood scores 1.1/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 37183053611?

Median gross rent is $1,828/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 25% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 37183053611?

1.4% of residents in tract 37183053611 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 7,344.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 37183053611?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 15th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 8th, household 18th, minority 76th, housing 24th.
Q5

Is tract 37183053611 considered part of Downing Village?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 37183053611 fall within Downing Village (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 37183053611 struggle to pay rent?

About 5.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 37183053611 compare to Morrisville overall?

Tract 37183053611 scores 1.1/10, lower than the parent city of Morrisville at 2.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Morrisville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Morrisville

Top eight tracts in Morrisville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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