Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
Downing Village Eviction Risk: Lower , Morrisville
Tract 37183053611 · Wake County, NC · pop 7,344 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
37183053611 is a census tract in the Downing Village area of Morrisville, NC. It scores 3/10 for landlords. Cost burden runs 25% here against 42.7% across Wake County.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 7%
Stable renters 20%
Owners 73%
Tract context
Occupied units2,571
Renter share26.3%
SVI overall0.15
Poverty rate1.4%
Median income$148,904
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
25
th percentile
Low
Within county
4
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
28
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Morrisville and the region
Centroid at 35.8258, -78.8413 · click any tract to drill in
Why Downing Village scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Morrisville
6.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.3
State political climate
North Carolina legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
1.4% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,828 rent vs county FMR
5.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Morrisville
2.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Morrisville
9.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Morrisville
3.0
How Downing Village compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 15
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 8%Socioeconomic
- 18%Household composition
- 76%Racial/ethnic minority
- 24%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 5.8%Housing insecurity
- 3.4%Utility-shutoff threat
- 6.8%Food insecurity
- 3.6%SNAP enrollment
- 4.0%Transit barriers
- 5.3%No health insurance
- 11.2%Frequent mental distress
- 16.4%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Downing Village
What pushes it up most is tenant-organizing strength at 9.2/10. Running hot, court filing pressure reads 9/10. Running cool, economic stress reads 1/10.
Disability prevalence runs 16.4% against 31.5% nationally. The severe-burden share is 10%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Against the Wake County average of 4.0, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.0 points. Housing insecurity runs 5.8% against 14.2% nationally. Nationally it ranks #67,219 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
Social vulnerability reads 2.3/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Against average income of $148,904, annual rent is just 15%.
Statewide the NC average is 4.0, so this tract runs 1.0 points cooler. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 1%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.
Average gross rent is $1,828, close to the Morrisville average.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 37183053611
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 37183053611?
Census tract 37183053611 in the Downing Village neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 37183053611?
Median gross rent is $1,828/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 25% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 37183053611?
1.4% of residents in tract 37183053611 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 7,344.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 37183053611?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 15th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 8th, household 18th, minority 76th, housing 24th.
Q5
Is tract 37183053611 considered part of Downing Village?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 37183053611 fall within Downing Village (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 37183053611 struggle to pay rent?
About 5.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 37183053611 compare to Morrisville overall?
Tract 37183053611 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Morrisville at 4.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Morrisville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Morrisville
Top eight tracts in Morrisville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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