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Neighborhood · Morrisville, NC

Downing Village Eviction Risk: Lower

1 census tracts · pop 7,344 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3/10 · range 3–3

Downing Village maps to a single census tract in Morrisville, NC, population 7,344. Scored across those inputs it reaches 3/10, placing it in the Lower tier. What pushes the score up most is tenant-organizing strength at 9.2/10.

On the softer side is economic stress, at 1/10. CDC survey data puts housing insecurity at 5.8% of adults, against 14.2% nationally.

The severe-burden share is 11%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay. Well under the midpoint is eviction-process difficulty, at 2.6/10.

25% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, slightly above the Morrisville rate of 21.6%. 5.3% of adults carry no health insurance against 11.3% nationally, a common route into sudden unpayable debt.

That places it #3 of 5 neighborhoods in Morrisville. Only 26% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin here; price renewals off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.

The closest comparables inside the same city are Providence Place and McCrimmon at the Park. Against average income of $148,904, annual rent is only 15%, a wide affordability cushion.

Poverty sits at 1%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. Average gross rent runs $1,828, close to the Morrisville average.

Because the boundary contains one tract, 3/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
3
Lower
1 tracts · population-weighted
Downing Village vs Morrisville How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
25.0% +16%
Morrisville: 21.6%
Average gross rent
$1,828 -2%
Morrisville: $1,858
Average HH income
$148,904 +19%
Morrisville: $125,404
Poverty rate
1.4% -71%
Morrisville: 4.8%
Renter share
26.3% -52%
Morrisville: 54.6%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Downing Village and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 3–3

Why Downing Village scores 3

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 2.3–2.3 across tracts
2.3
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 6.3–6.3 across tracts
6.3
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 6.7–6.7 across tracts
6.7
Rent control risk
25% of income on rent · Range 2.9–2.9 across tracts
2.9
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 2.6–2.6 across tracts
2.6
Tenant organizing strength
26% renter households · Range 9.2–9.2 across tracts
9.2
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 3.0–3.0 across tracts
3.0
Economic stress
1.4% below poverty line · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 5.4–5.4 across tracts
5.4
Risk score comparison

Downing Village vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Downing Village score vs. parent city, state, U.S.3.0Downing VillageNeighborhood4.3Parent cityhost city3.9Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Downing Village

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
37183053611 3 7,344 25% $1,828
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 15

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 8%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 18%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 76%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 25%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Downing Village

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Downing Village

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Downing Village?

Downing Village scores 3/10 (Lower tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Downing Village compare to Morrisville overall?

Downing Village scores 1.3 points lower than Morrisville overall (4.3/10). Renters spend 25% of income on rent vs 22% citywide. Average rent: $1,828 vs $1,858.
Q3

What is the average rent in Downing Village?

Average gross rent in Downing Village is $1,828/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 25% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Downing Village residents are renters?

26% of Downing Village households are renter-occupied (vs 55% in Morrisville). The neighborhood has 7,344 residents.
Q5

Is Downing Village a high social-vulnerability area?

Downing Village sits in the 15th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Downing Village for landlords?

Downing Village carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Morrisville as a whole (4.3/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Downing Village?

Downing Village has 7,483 residents. Top groups: Asian (non-Hispanic) (39.5%), White (non-Hispanic) (38.4%), Black (non-Hispanic) (13.8%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Downing Village

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Morrisville

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Downing Village.

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