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Neighborhood · Ranked #23,808 of 84,120 nationally

Arden Forest Eviction Risk: Moderate , Raleigh

Tract 37183052509 · Wake County, NC · pop 3,303 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi

With a score of 5.5/10, tract 37183052509 in the Arden Forest area of Raleigh, NC reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 3,303. Against Wake County at 42.7%, 57% of renters here are cost-burdened.

Risk score
5.5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 31% Stable renters 23% Owners 46%
Tract context
Occupied units1,665
Renter share54.3%
SVI overall0.60
Poverty rate17.3%
Median income$76,544

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Arden Forest
Moderate
Within parent city
79 th percentile
Rank, 79th percentileLowHigh
#24 of 111 tracts In Raleigh
High
Within county
94 th percentile
Rank, 94th percentileLowHigh
#14 of 230 tracts In Wake County
Very High
Within state
94 th percentile
Rank, 94th percentileLowHigh
#150 of 2,660 tracts In North Carolina
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Raleigh and the region

Centroid at 35.8256, -78.7175 · click any tract to drill in

Why Arden Forest scores 5.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Raleigh
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.3
State political climate
North Carolina legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
17.3% poverty · this tract
4.3
Supply constraint
$1,419 rent vs county FMR
3.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Raleigh
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Raleigh
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Raleigh
4.0

How Arden Forest compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Arden Forest risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.5This tracttract 0525094.1Raleighparent city4.0Countyavg tract in county4.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 60

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Arden Forest

Severe burden reaches 28%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 9/10.

Running cool, rent-regulation exposure reads 2/10. Against the Wake County average of 4.0, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.5 points.

Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 2.3/10. Food insecurity runs 9.3% against 17.8% nationally.

SNAP participation runs 7.1% against 15.2% nationally. At $1,419 a month, rents run 10% under what the rest of Raleigh commands.

That is riskier than roughly 72% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Social vulnerability reads 6.4/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Statewide the NC average is 4.0, so this tract runs 1.5 points hotter.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 37183052509

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 37183052509?

Census tract 37183052509 in the Arden Forest neighborhood scores 5.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 37183052509?

Median gross rent is $1,419/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 57% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 37183052509?

17.3% of residents in tract 37183052509 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,303.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 37183052509?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 60th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 65th, household 32th, minority 38th, housing 71th.
Q5

Is tract 37183052509 considered part of Arden Forest?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 37183052509 fall within Arden Forest (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 37183052509 struggle to pay rent?

About 7.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 37183052509 compare to Raleigh overall?

Tract 37183052509 scores 5.5/10, higher than the parent city of Raleigh at 4.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Raleigh eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Raleigh

Top eight tracts in Raleigh ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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