Skip to content
Neighborhood · Raleigh, NC

Arden Forest Eviction Risk: Moderate

1 census tracts · pop 3,303 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.5/10 · range 5.5–5.5

Arden Forest maps to a single census tract in Raleigh, NC, population 3,303. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 5.5/10, Moderate tier. Cost burden runs 57% against 30.9% citywide, putting Arden Forest 25.9% over its own city.

28% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate. The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure, at 2/10. The poverty rate is 17%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

Well under the midpoint is supply constraint, at 3/10. SNAP participation is 7.1% of households versus 15.2% nationally.

Food insecurity affects 9.3% of adults, 8.5 points below the national rate. At $1,419 a month, rents sit 10% under what the rest of Raleigh commands. That places it #1 of 107 neighborhoods in Raleigh.

Annual rent works out to 22% of average household income of $76,544. 54% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Because the boundary contains one tract, 5.5/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
5.5
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
Arden Forest vs Raleigh How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
56.8% +84%
Raleigh: 30.9%
Average gross rent
$1,419 -10%
Raleigh: $1,572
Average HH income
$76,544 -7%
Raleigh: $82,424
Poverty rate
17.3% +51%
Raleigh: 11.4%
Renter share
54.3% +10%
Raleigh: 49.3%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Arden Forest and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 5.5–5.5

Why Arden Forest scores 5.5

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 2.3–2.3 across tracts
2.3
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 6.3–6.3 across tracts
6.3
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 7.0–7.0 across tracts
7.0
Rent control risk
57% of income on rent · Range 2.0–2.0 across tracts
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 4.0–4.0 across tracts
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
54% renter households · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 4.0–4.0 across tracts
4.0
Economic stress
17.3% below poverty line · Range 4.3–4.3 across tracts
4.3
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 3.0–3.0 across tracts
3.0
Risk score comparison

Arden Forest vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Arden Forest score vs. parent city, state, U.S.5.5Arden ForestNeighborhood4.1Parent cityhost city3.9Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Arden Forest

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
37183052509 5.5 3,303 57% $1,419
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 60

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 65%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 32%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 38%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 71%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Arden Forest

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Arden Forest

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Arden Forest?

Arden Forest scores 5.5/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Arden Forest compare to Raleigh overall?

Arden Forest scores 1.4 points higher than Raleigh overall (4.1/10). Renters spend 57% of income on rent vs 31% citywide. Average rent: $1,419 vs $1,572.
Q3

What is the average rent in Arden Forest?

Average gross rent in Arden Forest is $1,419/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 57% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Arden Forest residents are renters?

54% of Arden Forest households are renter-occupied (vs 49% in Raleigh). The neighborhood has 3,303 residents.
Q5

Is Arden Forest a high social-vulnerability area?

Arden Forest sits in the 60th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Arden Forest for landlords?

Arden Forest carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.5/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Raleigh as a whole (4.1/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Arden Forest?

Arden Forest has 3,278 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (83.9%), Black (non-Hispanic) (9.5%), Hispanic / Latino (4.7%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Arden Forest

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Raleigh

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Arden Forest.

Zoom out

Up the geography chain · or explore further