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Neighborhood · Raleigh, NC

Carolton Eviction Risk: Lower

1 census tracts · pop 5,199 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3/10 · range 3–3

Carolton maps to a single census tract in Raleigh, NC and houses 5,199 people. Scored across those inputs it reaches 3/10, placing it in the Lower tier. Pulling the other way is economic stress, at 1/10.

Running cool is rent-regulation exposure, at 2/10. roughly one in three of renters spend 30% or more of household income on rent. 13% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate.

CDC survey data puts housing insecurity at 6.7% of adults, against 14.2% nationally. Food insecurity affects 7.6% of adults, 10.2 points below the national rate.

That places it #89 of 107 neighborhoods in Raleigh. Only 18% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin here; price renewals off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.

For a like-for-like read, Lost Valley and Raintree score within a fraction of it. Against average income of $175,852, annual rent is only 10%, a wide affordability cushion. Poverty sits at 3%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

Average gross rent runs $1,478, close to the Raleigh average.

One tract means one number: 3/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
3
Lower
1 tracts · population-weighted
Carolton vs Raleigh How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
30.2% -2%
Raleigh: 30.9%
Average gross rent
$1,478 -6%
Raleigh: $1,572
Average HH income
$175,852 +113%
Raleigh: $82,424
Poverty rate
2.9% -75%
Raleigh: 11.4%
Renter share
18.4% -63%
Raleigh: 49.3%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Carolton and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 3–3

Why Carolton scores 3

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 2.3–2.3 across tracts
2.3
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 6.3–6.3 across tracts
6.3
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 7.0–7.0 across tracts
7.0
Rent control risk
30% of income on rent · Range 2.0–2.0 across tracts
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 4.0–4.0 across tracts
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
18% renter households · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 4.0–4.0 across tracts
4.0
Economic stress
2.9% below poverty line · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 3.4–3.4 across tracts
3.4
Risk score comparison

Carolton vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Carolton score vs. parent city, state, U.S.3.0CaroltonNeighborhood4.1Parent cityhost city3.9Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Carolton

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
37183053010 3 5,199 30% $1,478
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 19

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 13%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 24%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 39%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 37%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Carolton

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Carolton

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Carolton?

Carolton scores 3/10 (Lower tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Carolton compare to Raleigh overall?

Carolton scores 1.1 points lower than Raleigh overall (4.1/10). Renters spend 30% of income on rent vs 31% citywide. Average rent: $1,478 vs $1,572.
Q3

What is the average rent in Carolton?

Average gross rent in Carolton is $1,478/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 30% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Carolton residents are renters?

18% of Carolton households are renter-occupied (vs 49% in Raleigh). The neighborhood has 5,199 residents.
Q5

Is Carolton a high social-vulnerability area?

Carolton sits in the 19th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Carolton for landlords?

Carolton carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Raleigh as a whole (4.1/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Carolton?

Carolton has 5,061 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (79.9%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (6.4%), Other / Multiracial (6%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Carolton

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Raleigh

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Carolton.

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