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Neighborhood · Raleigh, NC

Oak Circle Eviction Risk: Moderate

1 census tracts · pop 3,002 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.1/10 · range 5.1–5.1

Oak Circle maps to a single census tract in Raleigh, NC and houses 3,002 people. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 5.1/10, in the Moderate tier. Cost burden runs 59% against 30.9% citywide, putting Oak Circle 27.6% over its own city.

The severe-burden share is 20%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay. Pulling the other way is rent-regulation exposure, at 2/10.

Court records for this tract carry 161 eviction filings. The poverty rate is 17%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

Filing activity peaked in 2016 at 15.7% of renter households. Among the 107 mapped neighborhoods of Raleigh, it ranks #43 by risk, the middle third.

Judgments average 4.9% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order. The closest comparables inside the same city are Timber Lakes and Neuse Ridge.

Against average income of $95,882, annual rent is only 20%, a wide affordability cushion. Average gross rent runs $1,564, close to the Raleigh average. 31% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

One tract means one number: 5.1/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
5.1
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
Oak Circle vs Raleigh How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
58.5% +89%
Raleigh: 30.9%
Average gross rent
$1,564 -1%
Raleigh: $1,572
Average HH income
$95,882 +16%
Raleigh: $82,424
Poverty rate
16.8% +47%
Raleigh: 11.4%
Renter share
31.3% -36%
Raleigh: 49.3%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Oak Circle and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 5.1–5.1

Why Oak Circle scores 5.1

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 2.3–2.3 across tracts
2.3
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 6.3–6.3 across tracts
6.3
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 7.0–7.0 across tracts
7.0
Rent control risk
59% of income on rent · Range 2.0–2.0 across tracts
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 4.0–4.0 across tracts
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
31% renter households · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 4.0–4.0 across tracts
4.0
Economic stress
16.8% below poverty line · Range 4.2–4.2 across tracts
4.2
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 3.9–3.9 across tracts
3.9
Risk score comparison

Oak Circle vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Oak Circle score vs. parent city, state, U.S.5.1Oak CircleNeighborhood4.1Parent cityhost city3.9Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Oak Circle

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
37183052507 5.1 3,002 59% $1,564
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 35

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 36%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 15%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 49%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 54%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Oak Circle

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 161Total filings (sum)
  • 14.35%Avg annual filing rate
  • 15.7%Peak year (2016)
  • 15.66%Latest filed (2016)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Oak Circle

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Oak Circle

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Oak Circle?

Oak Circle scores 5.1/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Oak Circle compare to Raleigh overall?

Oak Circle scores 1.0 points higher than Raleigh overall (4.1/10). Renters spend 59% of income on rent vs 31% citywide. Average rent: $1,564 vs $1,572.
Q3

What is the average rent in Oak Circle?

Average gross rent in Oak Circle is $1,564/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 59% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Oak Circle residents are renters?

31% of Oak Circle households are renter-occupied (vs 49% in Raleigh). The neighborhood has 3,002 residents.
Q5

Is Oak Circle a high social-vulnerability area?

Oak Circle sits in the 35th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Oak Circle for landlords?

Oak Circle carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.1/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Raleigh as a whole (4.1/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Oak Circle?

Oak Circle has 3,126 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (62.6%), Black (non-Hispanic) (12%), Other / Multiracial (11.9%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Oak Circle

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Raleigh

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Oak Circle.

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