Neighborhood · Raleigh, NC

Timber Lakes Eviction Risk: Lower

1 census tracts · pop 4,366 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.5/10 · range 3.5–3.5

Timber Lakes is a hispanic-black neighborhood in Raleigh with 1 census tract and a population of 4,366 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 3.5/10 (Lower tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 36% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 7% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,147/month sits 27% lower than the Raleigh citywide average ($1,572).

Risk score

3.5

Lower

1 tracts · population-weighted

Timber Lakes vs Raleigh How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

36.3% +17%

Raleigh: 30.9%

Average gross rent

$1,147 -27%

Raleigh: $1,572

Average HH income

$83,155 +1%

Raleigh: $82,424

Poverty rate

12.9% +13%

Raleigh: 11.4%

Renter share

43.9% -11%

Raleigh: 49.3%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Timber Lakes and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 3.5–3.5

Why Timber Lakes scores 3.5

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 2.3–2.3 across tracts

2.3

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 6.3–6.3 across tracts

6.3

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 7.0–7.0 across tracts

7.0

Rent control risk

36% of income on rent · Range 2.0–2.0 across tracts

2.0

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 4.0–4.0 across tracts

4.0

Tenant organizing strength

44% renter households · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts

5.5

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 4.0–4.0 across tracts

4.0

Economic stress

12.9% below poverty line · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts

3.2

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts

1.5

Risk score comparison

Timber Lakes vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Census tracts

1 tracts in Timber Lakes

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
37183052706	3.5	4,366	36%	$1,147

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 83

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 77%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 23%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 81%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 98%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Timber Lakes

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

291Total filings (sum)
18.12%Avg annual filing rate
20.4%Peak year (2015)
15.88%Latest filed (2016)

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Timber Lakes

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

17.7%Housing insecurity
11.3%Utility shutoff threat
22.1%Food insecurity
18.0%SNAP enrollment
16.1%No health insurance
31.7%Any disability

Frequently asked

About Timber Lakes

What is the eviction-risk score for Timber Lakes?

Timber Lakes scores 3.5/10 (Lower tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Timber Lakes compare to Raleigh overall?

Timber Lakes scores 0.2 points higher than Raleigh overall (3.3/10). Renters spend 36% of income on rent vs 31% citywide. Average rent: $1,147 vs $1,572.

What is the average rent in Timber Lakes?

Average gross rent in Timber Lakes is $1,147/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 36% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Timber Lakes residents are renters?

44% of Timber Lakes households are renter-occupied (vs 49% in Raleigh). The neighborhood has 4,366 residents.

Is Timber Lakes a high social-vulnerability area?

Timber Lakes sits in the 83rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

How safe is Timber Lakes for landlords?

Timber Lakes carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.5/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Raleigh as a whole (3.3/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.

What is the demographic breakdown of Timber Lakes?

Timber Lakes has 4,670 residents (Hispanic-Black Neighborhood). Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (43.6%), Black (non-Hispanic) (24.3%), White (non-Hispanic) (23.6%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Timber Lakes

2.7 Gresham Hills 2 tracts · pop 9,646 2.5 Pebble Ridge 2 tracts · pop 3,840

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Raleigh

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Timber Lakes.

0 Alanda 1 tracts · pop 0 3.5 Royal Birkdale at Hedingham 1 tracts · pop 4,562 3.5 Crenshaw Hall Plantation 1 tracts · pop 7,497 3.5 Neuse Ridge 1 tracts · pop 9,076 3.4 Six Forks Hills 1 tracts · pop 2,879 3.4 Village Gate 1 tracts · pop 5,446

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