1 census tracts · pop 4,366 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.1/10
· range 5.1–5.1
Timber Lakes is a one-tract neighborhood of Raleigh, NC and houses 4,366 people. Scored across those inputs it reaches 5.1/10, placing it in the Moderate tier. Pulling the other way is supply constraint, at 1.5/10.
At $1,147 a month, rents sit 27% under what the rest of Raleigh commands. Well under the midpoint is rent-regulation exposure, at 2/10. Against a Raleigh baseline of 30.9%, 36% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line.
Court records for this tract carry 291 eviction filings. The worst year on record was 2015, when filings touched 20.4% of renter households.
Recent filings have not receded much: 15.9% in 2016 against a 20.4% peak. Among the 107 mapped neighborhoods of Raleigh, it ranks #43 by risk, the middle third. The closest comparables inside the same city are Oak Circle and Neuse Ridge.
Social vulnerability runs high at 8.4/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input. Against average income of $83,155, annual rent is only 17%, a wide affordability cushion.
44% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Because the boundary contains one tract, 5.1/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.
Risk score
5.1
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
Timber Lakes vs RaleighHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority81%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport98%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab
Court-record eviction history in Timber Lakes
Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
291Total filings (sum)
18.12%Avg annual filing rate
20.4%Peak year (2015)
15.88%Latest filed (2016)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in Timber Lakes
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
17.7%Housing insecurity
11.3%Utility shutoff threat
22.1%Food insecurity
18.0%SNAP enrollment
16.1%No health insurance
31.7%Any disability
Frequently asked
About Timber Lakes
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Timber Lakes?
Timber Lakes scores 5.1/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Timber Lakes compare to Raleigh overall?
Timber Lakes scores 1.0 points higher than Raleigh overall (4.1/10). Renters spend 36% of income on rent vs 31% citywide. Average rent: $1,147 vs $1,572.
Q3
What is the average rent in Timber Lakes?
Average gross rent in Timber Lakes is $1,147/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 36% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Timber Lakes residents are renters?
44% of Timber Lakes households are renter-occupied (vs 49% in Raleigh). The neighborhood has 4,366 residents.
Q5
Is Timber Lakes a high social-vulnerability area?
Timber Lakes sits in the 83rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
How safe is Timber Lakes for landlords?
Timber Lakes carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.1/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Raleigh as a whole (4.1/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q7
What is the demographic breakdown of Timber Lakes?
Timber Lakes has 4,670 residents. Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (43.6%), Black (non-Hispanic) (24.3%), White (non-Hispanic) (23.6%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
