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Neighborhood · Ranked #31,049 of 84,120 nationally

Oak Circle Eviction Risk: Moderate , Raleigh

Tract 37183052507 · Wake County, NC · pop 3,002 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

With a score of 5.1/10, tract 37183052507 in the Oak Circle area of Raleigh, NC reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 3,002 residents. 59% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly above the Wake County average of 42.7%.

Risk score
5.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 18% Stable renters 13% Owners 69%
Tract context
Occupied units1,270
Renter share31.3%
SVI overall0.35
Poverty rate16.8%
Median income$95,882

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Oak Circle
Moderate
Within parent city
61 th percentile
Rank, 61st percentileLowHigh
#44 of 111 tracts In Raleigh
Elevated
Within county
79 th percentile
Rank, 79th percentileLowHigh
#50 of 230 tracts In Wake County
High
Within state
82 th percentile
Rank, 82nd percentileLowHigh
#478 of 2,660 tracts In North Carolina
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Raleigh and the region

Centroid at 35.8503, -78.7039 · click any tract to drill in

Why Oak Circle scores 5.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Raleigh
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.3
State political climate
North Carolina legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
16.8% poverty · this tract
4.2
Supply constraint
$1,564 rent vs county FMR
3.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Raleigh
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Raleigh
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Raleigh
4.0

How Oak Circle compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Oak Circle risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.1This tracttract 0525074.1Raleighparent city4.0Countyavg tract in county4.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 35

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 161Total filings over 2 yrs
  • 14.35%Avg annual filing rate
  • 15.7%Peak (2016)
  • 86Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Oak Circle

The dominant input is court filing pressure at 9/10. 20% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 2/10.

On the softer side, state political climate reads 2.3/10. It sits 1.1 points above the Wake County average of 4.0.

Court records carry 161 eviction filings across 2 observed years. Food insecurity runs 10.8% against 17.8% nationally. The worst year on record was 2016, when 15.7% of renter households were served.

In a typical year about 14.4% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 63rd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 4.1/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the NC average is 4.0, so this tract runs 1.1 points hotter.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured. Average gross rent is $1,564, close to the Raleigh average.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 37183052507

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 37183052507?

Census tract 37183052507 in the Oak Circle neighborhood scores 5.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 37183052507?

Median gross rent is $1,564/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 59% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 37183052507?

16.8% of residents in tract 37183052507 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,002.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 37183052507?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 35th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 36th, household 15th, minority 49th, housing 54th.
Q5

Is tract 37183052507 considered part of Oak Circle?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 37183052507 fall within Oak Circle (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 37183052507?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 161 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 37183052507 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 14.35% of renter households, peaking at 15.7% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 37183052507 struggle to pay rent?

About 9.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 37183052507 compare to Raleigh overall?

Tract 37183052507 scores 5.1/10, higher than the parent city of Raleigh at 4.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Raleigh eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Raleigh

Top eight tracts in Raleigh ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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