Sandy Chase Eviction Risk: Lower

The clearest offset is economic stress, at 1.5/10. Well under the midpoint is supply constraint, at 1.8/10. At $1,191 a month, rents sit 24% under what the rest of Raleigh commands.

On the softer side is rent-regulation exposure, at 2/10. Court records for this tract carry 313 eviction filings. Food insecurity affects 6.6% of adults, 11.2 points below the national rate.

3.9% of adults report being unable to pay a utility bill, below a 9.2% national figure. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. 9% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate. Filing activity peaked in 2015 at 22.1% of renter households.

Recent filings have not receded much: 29.8% in 2016 against a 22.1% peak. That places it #89 of 107 neighborhoods in Raleigh.

Only 19% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin here; price renewals off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. For a like-for-like read, Lost Valley and Raintree score within a fraction of it.

Because the boundary contains one tract, 3/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.