Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #28,017 of 84,120 nationally
Bucyrus Commercial Historical District Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 39033974500 · Crawford County, OH · pop 3,989 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
The Bucyrus Commercial Historical District area of Bucyrus is where census tract 39033974500 sits, home to 3,989 residents. Its landlord eviction-risk score is 5.2/10. That is riskier than roughly 45% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
47% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 21% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $825 a month against an average household income of $52,443 a year, roughly 19% of income at the averages. About 29% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
4.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 14%
Stable renters 16%
Owners 70%
Tract context
Occupied units1,643
Renter share29.3%
SVI overall0.66
Poverty rate22.2%
Median income$52,443
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Within county
92
th percentile
Very High
Within state
75
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Bucyrus and the region
Centroid at 40.8063, -82.9761 · click any tract to drill in
Why Bucyrus Commercial Historical District scores 4.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Bucyrus
3.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
2.5
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
22.2% poverty · this tract
5.5
Supply constraint
$825 rent vs county FMR
4.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Bucyrus
4.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Bucyrus
7.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Bucyrus
5.9
How Bucyrus Commercial Historical District compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 66
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 68%Socioeconomic
- 58%Household composition
- 14%Racial/ethnic minority
- 74%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 158Total filings over 6 yrs
- 4.08%Avg annual filing rate
- 5.6%Peak (2018)
- 34Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 26% over the past 6 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Bucyrus Commercial Historical District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 13.7%Housing insecurity
- 10.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 18.8%Food insecurity
- 17.9%SNAP enrollment
- 10.0%Transit barriers
- 9.7%No health insurance
- 21.2%Frequent mental distress
- 36.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Bucyrus Commercial Historical District
The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 7.3/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Bucyrus, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Crawford County average of 4.5 and in line with the Ohio statewide average of 5.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 13.7% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 10.7% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 158 eviction filings here over 6 tracked years, with about 4.1% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 5.6% of renter households in 2018.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 39033974500
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39033974500?
Census tract 39033974500 in the Bucyrus Commercial Historical District neighborhood scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 39033974500?
Median gross rent is $825/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 39033974500?
22.2% of residents in tract 39033974500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,989.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 39033974500?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 66th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 68th, household 58th, minority 14th, housing 74th.
Q5
Is tract 39033974500 considered part of Bucyrus Commercial Historical District?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39033974500 fall within Bucyrus Commercial Historical District (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39033974500?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 158 eviction filings across 6 validated years in tract 39033974500 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.08% of renter households, peaking at 5.6% in 2018. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 39033974500 struggle to pay rent?
About 13.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 39033974500 compare to Bucyrus overall?
Tract 39033974500 scores 4.8/10, higher than the parent city of Bucyrus at 2.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Bucyrus; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Bucyrus
Top eight tracts in Bucyrus ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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