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Neighborhood · Ranked #39,389 of 84,120 nationally

Bucyrus Commercial Historical District Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 39033974400 · Crawford County, OH · pop 2,919 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi

Census tract 39033974400 belongs to Bucyrus Commercial Historical District in Bucyrus, Ohio. It is home to 2,919 residents and scores 4.5/10, a moderate reading for landlords. It lands near the 22nd percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

About 34% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a high level, and 8% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $735 a month while the average household earns $49,265 a year, roughly 18% of income at the averages. Renters make up 41% of occupied homes.

Risk score
4.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 14% Stable renters 27% Owners 59%
Tract context
Occupied units1,238
Renter share41.0%
SVI overall0.74
Poverty rate12.1%
Median income$49,265

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Bucyrus Commercial Historical District
Very Low
Within parent city
33 th percentile
Rank, 33rd percentileLowHigh
#3 of 4 tracts In Bucyrus
Low
Within county
42 th percentile
Rank, 42nd percentileLowHigh
#8 of 13 tracts In Crawford County
Moderate
Within state
62 th percentile
Rank, 62nd percentileLowHigh
#1,211 of 3,162 tracts In Ohio
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Bucyrus and the region

Centroid at 40.8230, -82.9726 · click any tract to drill in

Why Bucyrus Commercial Historical District scores 4.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Bucyrus
3.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
2.5
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
12.1% poverty · this tract
3.0
Supply constraint
$735 rent vs county FMR
3.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Bucyrus
4.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Bucyrus
7.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Bucyrus
5.9

How Bucyrus Commercial Historical District compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Bucyrus Commercial Historical District risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.14.1This tracttract 974400Bucyrus: 2.52.5Bucyrusparent cityCounty: 4.04.0Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.73.7Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 74

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 130Total filings over 6 yrs
  • 4.07%Avg annual filing rate
  • 5.0%Peak (2015)
  • 22Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2009 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 390339744002009: 20 filings (3.74/100 renter HHs)2010: 10 filings (2.16/100 renter HHs)2011: 23 filings (3.99/100 renter HHs)2015: 29 filings (5.03/100 renter HHs)2016: 26 filings (5.13/100 renter HHs)2018: 22 filings (4.34/100 renter HHs)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 6 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Bucyrus Commercial Historical District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Bucyrus Commercial Historical District

The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 7.3/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Bucyrus, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Crawford County average of 4.5 and below the Ohio statewide average of 5.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 130 eviction filings here over 6 tracked years, with about 4.1% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 5.0% of renter households in 2015.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 74th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 39033974400

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39033974400?

Census tract 39033974400 in the Bucyrus Commercial Historical District neighborhood scores 4.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 39033974400?

Median gross rent is $735/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 34% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 39033974400?

12.1% of residents in tract 39033974400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,919.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 39033974400?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 74th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 83th, household 54th, minority 5th, housing 81th.
Q5

Is tract 39033974400 considered part of Bucyrus Commercial Historical District?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39033974400 fall within Bucyrus Commercial Historical District (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39033974400?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 130 eviction filings across 6 validated years in tract 39033974400 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.07% of renter households, peaking at 5.0% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 39033974400 struggle to pay rent?

About 12.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 39033974400 compare to Bucyrus overall?

Tract 39033974400 scores 4.1/10, higher than the parent city of Bucyrus at 2.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Bucyrus; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Bucyrus

Top eight tracts in Bucyrus ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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