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Census Tract · Ranked #29,578 of 84,120 nationally

Bucyrus Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 39033974300 · Crawford County, OH · pop 2,957 · 75% of tract blocks fall in Bucyrus

Tract 39033974300 covers Bucyrus in Ohio. Home to 2,957 residents, it scores 4.8/10 on landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than roughly 31% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 38% of renter households, a high level, and 5% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $693 monthly, set against $54,250 in average yearly household income, roughly 15% of income at the averages. Renters make up 30% of occupied homes.

Risk score
4.7
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 11% Stable renters 19% Owners 70%
Tract context
Occupied units1,438
Renter share30.4%
SVI overall0.67
Poverty rate21.6%
Median income$54,250

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
67 th percentile
Rank, 67th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 4 tracts In Bucyrus
Elevated
Within county
75 th percentile
Rank, 75th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 13 tracts In Crawford County
High
Within state
74 th percentile
Rank, 74th percentileLowHigh
#839 of 3,162 tracts In Ohio
Elevated
National
65 th percentile
Rank, 65th percentileLowHigh
#29,578 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Bucyrus and the region

Centroid at 40.7955, -83.0045 · click any tract to drill in

Why Bucyrus scores 4.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Bucyrus
3.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
2.5
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
21.6% poverty · this tract
5.4
Supply constraint
$693 rent vs county FMR
2.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Bucyrus
4.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Bucyrus
7.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Bucyrus
5.9

How Bucyrus compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Bucyrus risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.74.7This tracttract 974300Bucyrus: 2.52.5Bucyrusparent cityCounty: 4.04.0Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.73.7Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 67

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 77Total filings over 6 yrs
  • 2.93%Avg annual filing rate
  • 6.0%Peak (2016)
  • 11Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2009 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 390339743002009: 5 filings (1.37/100 renter HHs)2010: 17 filings (3.51/100 renter HHs)2011: 9 filings (1.65/100 renter HHs)2015: 12 filings (2.19/100 renter HHs)2016: 23 filings (6.01/100 renter HHs)2018: 11 filings (2.87/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 120% over the past 6 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Bucyrus

The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 7.3/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Bucyrus, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Crawford County average of 4.5 and in line with the Ohio statewide average of 5.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 10.7% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 8.5% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 67th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 39033974300

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39033974300?

Census tract 39033974300 in Bucyrus scores 4.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 39033974300?

Median gross rent is $693/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 38% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 39033974300?

21.6% of residents in tract 39033974300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,957.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 39033974300?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 67th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 54th, household 100th, minority 18th, housing 36th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39033974300?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 77 eviction filings across 6 validated years in tract 39033974300 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.93% of renter households, peaking at 6.0% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

What share of households in tract 39033974300 struggle to pay rent?

About 10.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 39033974300 compare to Bucyrus overall?

Tract 39033974300 scores 4.7/10, higher than the parent city of Bucyrus at 2.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Bucyrus; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Bucyrus

Top eight tracts in Bucyrus ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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