Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #35,669 of 84,120 nationally
Bucyrus Commercial Historical District Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 39033974500 · Crawford County, OH · pop 3,989 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
With a score of 4.8/10, tract 39033974500 in the Bucyrus Commercial Historical District area of Bucyrus, OH reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 3,989 residents. 47% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly above the Crawford County average of 35.2%.
Risk score
4.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 14%
Stable renters 16%
Owners 70%
Tract context
Occupied units1,643
Renter share29.3%
SVI overall0.66
Poverty rate22.2%
Median income$52,443
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Within county
83
th percentile
High
Within state
67
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Bucyrus and the region
Centroid at 40.8063, -82.9761 · click any tract to drill in
Why Bucyrus Commercial Historical District scores 4.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Bucyrus
3.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
2.5
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
22.2% poverty · this tract
5.5
Supply constraint
$825 rent vs county FMR
4.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Bucyrus
4.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Bucyrus
7.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Bucyrus
5.9
How Bucyrus Commercial Historical District compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 66
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 68%Socioeconomic
- 58%Household composition
- 14%Racial/ethnic minority
- 74%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 158Total filings over 6 yrs
- 4.08%Avg annual filing rate
- 5.6%Peak (2018)
- 34Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 26% over the past 6 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Bucyrus Commercial Historical District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 13.7%Housing insecurity
- 10.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 18.8%Food insecurity
- 17.9%SNAP enrollment
- 10.0%Transit barriers
- 9.7%No health insurance
- 21.2%Frequent mental distress
- 36.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Bucyrus Commercial Historical District
21% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Pulling hardest the other way is eviction-process difficulty at 2/10.
On the softer side, state political climate reads 2.4/10. The poverty rate is 22%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Well under the midpoint, regional political climate reads 2.5/10.
The filing record is not thin: 158 evictions over 6 years of observation. Against the Crawford County average of 4.0, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 0.8 points. The worst year on record was 2018, when 5.6% of renter households were served.
In a typical year about 4.1% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 58% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Social vulnerability reads 6.9/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
Average gross rent is $825, close to the Bucyrus average.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 39033974500
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39033974500?
Census tract 39033974500 in the Bucyrus Commercial Historical District neighborhood scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 39033974500?
Median gross rent is $825/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 39033974500?
22.2% of residents in tract 39033974500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,989.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 39033974500?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 66th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 68th, household 58th, minority 14th, housing 74th.
Q5
Is tract 39033974500 considered part of Bucyrus Commercial Historical District?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39033974500 fall within Bucyrus Commercial Historical District (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39033974500?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 158 eviction filings across 6 validated years in tract 39033974500 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.08% of renter households, peaking at 5.6% in 2018. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 39033974500 struggle to pay rent?
About 13.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 39033974500 compare to Bucyrus overall?
Tract 39033974500 scores 4.8/10, higher than the parent city of Bucyrus at 3.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Bucyrus; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Bucyrus
Top eight tracts in Bucyrus ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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