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Neighborhood · Cleveland, OH

Upper Chester Eviction Risk: Elevated

2 census tracts · pop 3,650 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 6/10 · range 6–6

Upper Chester spans 2 census tracts of Cleveland, OH, population 3,650. The Eviction Risk Score is 6/10, in the Elevated tier. Cost burden runs about half against 31.5% citywide, putting Upper Chester 16.7% over its own city.

36.2% of adults report being unable to pay a utility bill, against a 9.2% national figure. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. CDC survey data puts housing insecurity at 39.0% of adults, against 14.2% nationally. At $461 a month, rents sit 51% under what the rest of Cleveland commands.

The dominant input is economic stress at 10/10. The poverty rate is 58%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than the filing statistics suggest. 25% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate.

74% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building two streets over. Annualized rent equals 32% of average household income here, past the 30% affordability line, which compresses the margin any screening standard has to work with.

On the softer side is rent-regulation exposure, at 2/10. Court records for this tract carry 927 eviction filings. Filing activity peaked in 2005 at 29.8% of renter households.

Well under the midpoint is supply constraint, at 3/10.

The area figure travels well to individual addresses here, though the per-tract table below still carries the detail. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
6
Elevated
2 tracts · population-weighted
Upper Chester vs Cleveland How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
48.2% +53%
Cleveland: 31.5%
Average gross rent
$461 -51%
Cleveland: $945
Average HH income
$17,238 -56%
Cleveland: $39,187
Poverty rate
57.7% +87%
Cleveland: 30.8%
Renter share
73.5% +26%
Cleveland: 58.3%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Upper Chester and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 6–6

Why Upper Chester scores 6

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 2.4–2.4 across tracts
2.4
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 6.7–6.7 across tracts
6.7
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 7.0–7.0 across tracts
7.0
Rent control risk
48% of income on rent · Range 2.0–2.0 across tracts
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Tenant organizing strength
74% renter households · Range 6.0–6.0 across tracts
6.0
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 5.0–5.0 across tracts
5.0
Economic stress
57.7% below poverty line · Range 10.0–10.0 across tracts
10.0
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.5–5.0 across tracts
3.0
Risk score comparison

Upper Chester vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Upper Chester score vs. parent city, state, U.S.6.0Upper ChesterNeighborhood4.6Parent cityhost city4.0Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Upper Chester

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
39035197200 6 2,130 64% $790
39035112301 6 1,520 27% ,
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 93

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 96%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 70%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 93%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 78%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Upper Chester

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 927Total filings (sum)
  • 19.14%Avg annual filing rate
  • 29.8%Peak year (2005)
  • 12.78%Latest filed (2016)

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 264Total filings 2020-21
  • 1.9Avg monthly observed
  • 3.7Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.51×Ratio to baseline

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Cleveland, OH).

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Upper Chester

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Upper Chester

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Upper Chester?

Upper Chester scores 6/10 (Elevated tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Upper Chester compare to Cleveland overall?

Upper Chester scores 1.4 points higher than Cleveland overall (4.6/10). Renters spend 48% of income on rent vs 32% citywide. Average rent: $461 vs $945.
Q3

What is the average rent in Upper Chester?

Average gross rent in Upper Chester is $461/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 48% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Upper Chester residents are renters?

74% of Upper Chester households are renter-occupied (vs 58% in Cleveland). The neighborhood has 3,650 residents.
Q5

Is Upper Chester a high social-vulnerability area?

Upper Chester sits in the 93rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Upper Chester have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Upper Chester is census tract 39035197200 (score 6/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 6 to 6, a spread of 0 points.
Q7

How safe is Upper Chester for landlords?

Upper Chester carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (6/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Cleveland as a whole (4.6/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Upper Chester?

Upper Chester has 3,849 residents. Top groups: Black (non-Hispanic) (84.4%), White (non-Hispanic) (8%), Hispanic / Latino (4%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Upper Chester

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Cleveland

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Upper Chester.

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