Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #18,163 of 84,120 nationally
Upper Chester Eviction Risk: Elevated , Cleveland
Tract 39035112301 · Cuyahoga County, OH · pop 1,520 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi
39035112301 is a census tract in the Upper Chester area of Cleveland, OH. It scores 6/10 for landlords. Population here is 1,520. The dominant input is economic stress at 10/10.
Risk score
6
Elevated
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 21%
Stable renters 59%
Owners 20%
Tract context
Occupied units815
Renter share80.0%
SVI overall0.92
Poverty rate57.3%
Median income$19,297
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
99
th percentile
Very High
Within county
73
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
99
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Cleveland and the region
Centroid at 41.5088, -81.6479 · click any tract to drill in
Why Upper Chester scores 6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Cleveland
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.7
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
57.3% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
tract rent vs county FMR
5.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Cleveland
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Cleveland
6.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Cleveland
5.0
How Upper Chester compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 92
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 93%Socioeconomic
- 61%Household composition
- 95%Racial/ethnic minority
- 87%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 100%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 927Total filings over 12 yrs
- 19.14%Avg annual filing rate
- 29.8%Peak (2005)
- 52Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 17% over the past 12 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 54Total filings 2020-21
- 0.7Avg monthly (observed)
- 3.6Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.19×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Cleveland, OH as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Upper Chester. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 39.5%Housing insecurity
- 36.0%Utility-shutoff threat
- 53.2%Food insecurity
- 58.0%SNAP enrollment
- 27.4%Transit barriers
- 17.0%No health insurance
- 22.9%Frequent mental distress
- 46.6%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Upper Chester
Food insecurity runs 53.2% against 17.8% nationally. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 36.0% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. Cost burden runs roughly one in four here against 43.0% across Cuyahoga County.
The poverty rate is 57%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. 80% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.
Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.2/10. Against the Cuyahoga County average of 4.6, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.4 points. Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 2/10.
Severe burden reaches 13%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 927 filings here across 12 tracked years.
The worst year on record was 2005, when 29.8% of renter households were served.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 39035112301
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39035112301?
Census tract 39035112301 in the Upper Chester neighborhood scores 6/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the poverty rate in tract 39035112301?
57.3% of residents in tract 39035112301 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,520.
Q3
How socially vulnerable is tract 39035112301?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 92th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 93th, household 61th, minority 95th, housing 87th.
Q4
Is tract 39035112301 considered part of Upper Chester?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39035112301 fall within Upper Chester (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39035112301?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 927 eviction filings across 12 validated years in tract 39035112301 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 19.14% of renter households, peaking at 29.8% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 39035112301 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.19× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Cleveland eviction risk, OH), 2020-2021.
Q7
What share of households in tract 39035112301 struggle to pay rent?
About 39.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 36.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 39035112301 compare to Cleveland overall?
Tract 39035112301 scores 6/10, higher than the parent city of Cleveland at 4.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Cleveland eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 39035112301 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 100% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Cleveland
Top eight tracts in Cleveland ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · OH
Wakefield
6
/ 10 · Elevated
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6
/ 10 · Elevated
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Old Brooklyn
6
/ 10 · Elevated
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Stockyards
6
/ 10 · Elevated
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Buckeye-Shaker
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Forest Hills
6
/ 10 · Elevated
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6
/ 10 · Elevated
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Miles Park Historic District
6
/ 10 · Elevated
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