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Neighborhood · Ranked #18,163 of 84,120 nationally

Upper Chester Eviction Risk: Elevated , Cleveland

Tract 39035197200 · Cuyahoga County, OH · pop 2,130 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi

Tract 39035197200 sits in the Upper Chester area of Cleveland eviction risk, OH, carrying an eviction-risk score of 6/10. Population here is 2,130. Cost burden runs 64% here against 43.0% across Cuyahoga County.

Risk score
6
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 44% Stable renters 25% Owners 31%
Tract context
Occupied units984
Renter share68.8%
SVI overall0.94
Poverty rate57.9%
Median income$15,769

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Upper Chester
Very Low
Within parent city
49 th percentile
Rank, 49th percentileLowHigh
#81 of 159 tracts In Cleveland
Moderate
Within county
84 th percentile
Rank, 84th percentileLowHigh
#70 of 427 tracts In Cuyahoga County
High
Within state
99 th percentile
Rank, 99th percentileLowHigh
#47 of 3,162 tracts In Ohio
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Cleveland and the region

Centroid at 41.4998, -81.6360 · click any tract to drill in

Why Upper Chester scores 6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Cleveland
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.7
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
57.9% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$790 rent vs county FMR
1.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Cleveland
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Cleveland
6.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Cleveland
5.0

How Upper Chester compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Upper Chester risk score vs. parent city / county / state6.0This tracttract 1972004.6Clevelandparent city4.6Countyavg tract in county4.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 94

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 210Total filings 2020-21
  • 2.7Avg monthly (observed)
  • 3.7Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.73×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Cleveland, OH as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Upper Chester. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Upper Chester

Annualized rent equals 60% of average household income of $15,769, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. What pushes it up most is economic stress at 10/10.

Housing insecurity runs 38.4% against 14.2% nationally. The poverty rate is 58%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.

Severe burden reaches 33%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Disability prevalence runs 52.4% against 31.5% nationally.

On the softer side, supply constraint reads 1.5/10. 69% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.

Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.2/10. It sits 1.4 points above the Cuyahoga County average of 4.6.

Average gross rent is $790, 16% below the Cleveland average. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 39035197200

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39035197200?

Census tract 39035197200 in the Upper Chester neighborhood scores 6/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 39035197200?

Median gross rent is $790/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 64% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 39035197200?

57.9% of residents in tract 39035197200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,130.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 39035197200?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 94th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 99th, household 77th, minority 92th, housing 72th.
Q5

Is tract 39035197200 considered part of Upper Chester?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39035197200 fall within Upper Chester (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6

Did eviction filings in tract 39035197200 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.73× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Cleveland eviction risk, OH), 2020-2021.
Q7

What share of households in tract 39035197200 struggle to pay rent?

About 38.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 36.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 39035197200 compare to Cleveland overall?

Tract 39035197200 scores 6/10, higher than the parent city of Cleveland at 4.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Cleveland eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 39035197200 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 89% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Cleveland

Top eight tracts in Cleveland ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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