Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #18,163 of 84,120 nationally
Warszawa Historic District Eviction Risk: Elevated , Cleveland
Tract 39035198100 · Cuyahoga County, OH · pop 2,293 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi
39035198100 is a census tract in the Warszawa Historic District area of Cleveland, OH. It scores 6/10 for landlords. Population here is 2,293. 61% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well above the Cuyahoga County average of 43.0%.
Risk score
6
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 43%
Stable renters 28%
Owners 29%
Tract context
Occupied units998
Renter share70.4%
SVI overall0.90
Poverty rate42.5%
Median income$31,267
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
63
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
88
th percentile
High
Within state
99
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Cleveland and the region
Centroid at 41.4578, -81.6458 · click any tract to drill in
Why Warszawa Historic District scores 6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Cleveland
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.7
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
42.5% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$790 rent vs county FMR
1.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Cleveland
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Cleveland
6.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Cleveland
5.0
How Warszawa Historic District compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 90
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 98%Socioeconomic
- 70%Household composition
- 80%Racial/ethnic minority
- 67%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 48%Grade C
- 45%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 243Total filings 2020-21
- 3.2Avg monthly (observed)
- 6.6Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.48×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Cleveland, OH as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Warszawa Historic District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 31.7%Housing insecurity
- 28.0%Utility-shutoff threat
- 42.6%Food insecurity
- 45.9%SNAP enrollment
- 21.7%Transit barriers
- 15.2%No health insurance
- 23.1%Frequent mental distress
- 43.0%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Warszawa Historic District
The dominant input is economic stress at 10/10. SNAP participation runs 45.9% against 15.2% nationally. The severe-burden share is 34%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
The poverty rate is 43%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Housing insecurity runs 31.7% against 14.2% nationally.
On the softer side, supply constraint reads 1.5/10. This is renter territory: 70% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.
On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.2/10. Against the Cuyahoga County average of 4.6, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.4 points. Average gross rent is $790, 16% below the Cleveland average.
This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Cleveland. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. That is riskier than roughly 78% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 9.1/10.
Statewide the OH average is 4.2, so this tract runs 1.8 points hotter.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 39035198100
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39035198100?
Census tract 39035198100 in the Warszawa Historic District neighborhood scores 6/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 39035198100?
Median gross rent is $790/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 61% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 39035198100?
42.5% of residents in tract 39035198100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,293.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 39035198100?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 90th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 98th, household 70th, minority 80th, housing 67th.
Q5
Is tract 39035198100 considered part of Warszawa Historic District?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39035198100 fall within Warszawa Historic District (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 39035198100 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.48× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Cleveland eviction risk, OH), 2020-2021.
Q7
What share of households in tract 39035198100 struggle to pay rent?
About 31.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 28.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 39035198100 compare to Cleveland overall?
Tract 39035198100 scores 6/10, higher than the parent city of Cleveland at 4.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Cleveland eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 39035198100 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 45% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Cleveland
Top eight tracts in Cleveland ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · OH
Central
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Chagrin-Lee
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Forest Hills
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Little Arabia
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Westown
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Nottingham
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Warszawa Historic District
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Chagrin-Lee
6
/ 10 · Elevated
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