Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #18,163 of 84,120 nationally
Chagrin-Lee Eviction Risk: Elevated , Shaker Heights
Tract 39035119900 · Cuyahoga County, OH · pop 1,420 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi
39035119900 is a census tract in the Chagrin-Lee area of Cleveland, OH. It scores 6/10 for landlords. Population here is 1,420. The score leans hardest on economic stress at 10/10.
Risk score
6
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 25%
Stable renters 36%
Owners 39%
Tract context
Occupied units986
Renter share60.8%
SVI overall0.87
Poverty rate55.6%
Median income$26,239
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
53
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
91
th percentile
Very High
Within state
99
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Shaker Heights and the region
Centroid at 41.4679, -81.5804 · click any tract to drill in
Why Chagrin-Lee scores 6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Shaker Heights
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.7
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
55.6% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$751 rent vs county FMR
1.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Shaker Heights
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Shaker Heights
6.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Shaker Heights
5.0
How Chagrin-Lee compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 87
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 91%Socioeconomic
- 73%Household composition
- 96%Racial/ethnic minority
- 61%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 1%Grade A
- 1%Grade B
- 63%Grade C
- 35%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 1,272Total filings over 12 yrs
- 14.74%Avg annual filing rate
- 18.8%Peak (2005)
- 73Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 44% over the past 12 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 401Total filings 2020-21
- 5.2Avg monthly (observed)
- 7.0Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.75×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Cleveland, OH as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Chagrin-Lee. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 39.4%Housing insecurity
- 37.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 54.4%Food insecurity
- 61.1%SNAP enrollment
- 27.8%Transit barriers
- 14.4%No health insurance
- 22.8%Frequent mental distress
- 47.7%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Chagrin-Lee
Housing insecurity runs 39.4% against 14.2% nationally. Food insecurity runs 54.4% against 17.8% nationally. The poverty rate is 56%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.
Running cool, supply constraint reads 1.2/10. Annualized rent equals 34% of average household income of $26,239, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.
On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.2/10. It sits 1.4 points above the Cuyahoga County average of 4.6. The severe-burden share is 14%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Average gross rent is $751, 21% below the Cleveland average. The filing record is not thin: 1,272 evictions over 12 years of observation. Filings peaked in 2005 at 18.8% of renter households.
This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Cleveland. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 39035119900
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39035119900?
Census tract 39035119900 in the Chagrin-Lee neighborhood scores 6/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 39035119900?
Median gross rent is $751/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 41% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 39035119900?
55.6% of residents in tract 39035119900 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,420.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 39035119900?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 87th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 91th, household 73th, minority 96th, housing 61th.
Q5
Is tract 39035119900 considered part of Chagrin-Lee?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39035119900 fall within Chagrin-Lee (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39035119900?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,272 eviction filings across 12 validated years in tract 39035119900 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 14.74% of renter households, peaking at 18.8% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 39035119900 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.75× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Cleveland eviction risk, OH), 2020-2021.
Q8
What share of households in tract 39035119900 struggle to pay rent?
About 39.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 37.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9
How does tract 39035119900 compare to Shaker Heights overall?
Tract 39035119900 scores 6/10, higher than the parent city of Shaker Heights at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Shaker Heights eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q10
Was tract 39035119900 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 35% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Shaker Heights
Top eight tracts in Shaker Heights ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · OH
Forest Hills
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Clark-Fulton
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Magnolia-Wade Park Historic District
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Central
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Brookside
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Buckeye-Woodhill
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Karlin
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Miles Park Historic District
6
/ 10 · Elevated
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