Neighborhood · Ranked #22,303 of 84,120 nationally

Upper Chester Eviction Risk: Elevated , Cleveland

Tract 39035197200 · Cuyahoga County, OH · pop 2,130 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi

Census tract 39035197200 covers Upper Chester in Cleveland, home to 2,130 residents. For landlords it grades 6.6/10, an elevated reading. That is riskier than roughly 88% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 64% of renter households, a severe level, and 33% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $790 a month while the average household earns $15,769 a year, roughly 60% of income at the averages. Renters make up 69% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score

6.2

Elevated

Confidence 100% · 1-10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 44% Stable renters 25% Owners 31%

Tract context

Occupied units984

Renter share68.8%

SVI overall0.94

Poverty rate57.9%

Median income$15,769

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Cleveland and the region

Centroid at 41.4998, -81.6360 · click any tract to drill in

Why Upper Chester scores 6.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Cleveland

7.0

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

6.7

State political climate

Ohio legislature & governorship

2.4

Economic stress

57.9% poverty · this tract

10.0

Supply constraint

$790 rent vs county FMR

1.5

Rent control risk

Inherited from Cleveland

2.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

5.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Cleveland

6.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Cleveland

5.0

How Upper Chester compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 94

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

99%Socioeconomic
77%Household composition
92%Racial/ethnic minority
72%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
0%Grade B
0%Grade C
89%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020-2021)

210Total filings 2020-21
2.7Avg monthly (observed)
3.7Pre-pandemic baseline
0.73×Ratio to baseline

Monthly filings 2020-2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01

Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Cleveland, OH as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Upper Chester. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

38.4%Housing insecurity
36.3%Utility-shutoff threat
56.1%Food insecurity
62.9%SNAP enrollment
28.4%Transit barriers
16.5%No health insurance
21.8%Frequent mental distress
52.4%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Upper Chester

The score leans hardest on economic stress at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Cleveland eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Cuyahoga County average of 5.8 and above the Ohio statewide average of 5.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 38.4% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 36.3% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

This tract overlaps land the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation redlined in the 1930s, a dominant grade of D ("Hazardous") across 89% of the tract. Redlining cut off mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class blocks, and those areas still tend to carry higher rent burden and eviction filings today.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 39035197200

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39035197200?

Census tract 39035197200 in the Upper Chester neighborhood scores 6.2/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 39035197200?

Median gross rent is $790/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 64% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 39035197200?

57.9% of residents in tract 39035197200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,130.

How socially vulnerable is tract 39035197200?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 94th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 99th, household 77th, minority 92th, housing 72th.

Is tract 39035197200 considered part of Upper Chester?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39035197200 fall within Upper Chester (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).

Did eviction filings in tract 39035197200 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.73× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Cleveland eviction risk, OH), 2020-2021.

What share of households in tract 39035197200 struggle to pay rent?

About 38.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 36.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 39035197200 compare to Cleveland overall?

Tract 39035197200 scores 6.2/10, higher than the parent city of Cleveland at 5.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Cleveland eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 39035197200 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 89% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Cleveland

Top eight tracts in Cleveland ranked by composite eviction-risk score.