Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #77,226 of 84,120 nationally
Brandon Heights Eviction Risk: Lower , Upper Arlington
Tract 39049006430 · Franklin County, OH · pop 5,193 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
Brandon Heights in Upper Arlington is where census tract 39049006430 sits, home to 5,193 residents. Its landlord eviction-risk score is 5.3/10. That is riskier than about 49% of US census tracts.
About 47% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 19% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,468 a month against an average household income of $117,917 a year, roughly 15% of income at the averages. About 39% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
1.7
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 18%
Stable renters 21%
Owners 61%
Tract context
Occupied units1,974
Renter share38.7%
SVI overall0.25
Poverty rate5.8%
Median income$117,917
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Within county
12
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
9
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Upper Arlington and the region
Centroid at 40.0135, -83.0591 · click any tract to drill in
Why Brandon Heights scores 1.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Upper Arlington
6.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.6
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
5.8% poverty · this tract
1.5
Supply constraint
$1,468 rent vs county FMR
5.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Upper Arlington
3.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Upper Arlington
4.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Upper Arlington
3.0
How Brandon Heights compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 25
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 19%Socioeconomic
- 69%Household composition
- 41%Racial/ethnic minority
- 17%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: A: Best
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade A meant wealthy, predominantly white neighborhoods favored for lending. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 35%Grade A
- 17%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 121Total filings over 13 yrs
- 1.57%Avg annual filing rate
- 3.8%Peak (2010)
- 9Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 200% over the past 13 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 49Total filings 2020-21
- 0.6Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.8Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.84×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Columbus, OH as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 5.6%Housing insecurity
- 4.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 6.3%Food insecurity
- 4.2%SNAP enrollment
- 4.1%Transit barriers
- 4.5%No health insurance
- 13.9%Frequent mental distress
- 18.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Brandon Heights
The heaviest input here is supply constraint at 5.2/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Upper Arlington eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Franklin County average of 5.4 and in line with the Ohio statewide average of 5.1. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 0.84x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, a little under the pre-pandemic norm.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 25th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 39049006430
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39049006430?
Census tract 39049006430 in the Brandon Heights neighborhood scores 1.7/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 39049006430?
Median gross rent is $1,468/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 39049006430?
5.8% of residents in tract 39049006430 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,193.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 39049006430?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 25th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 19th, household 69th, minority 41th, housing 17th.
Q5
Is tract 39049006430 considered part of Brandon Heights?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39049006430 fall within Brandon Heights (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39049006430?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 121 eviction filings across 13 validated years in tract 39049006430 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.57% of renter households, peaking at 3.8% in 2010. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 39049006430 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.84× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Columbus eviction risk, OH), 2020-2021.
Q8
What share of households in tract 39049006430 struggle to pay rent?
About 5.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9
How does tract 39049006430 compare to Upper Arlington overall?
Tract 39049006430 scores 1.7/10, lower than the parent city of Upper Arlington at 2.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Upper Arlington eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q10
Was tract 39049006430 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of A. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Upper Arlington
Top eight tracts in Upper Arlington ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · OH
Cranbrook
1.6
/ 10 · Very Low
Tract · OH
Northcrest
1.6
/ 10 · Very Low
Tract · OH
Eastcleft
1.3
/ 10 · Very Low
Tract · OH
Eastcleft
1.2
/ 10 · Very Low
Tract · OH
Guilford Place
1.2
/ 10 · Very Low
Tract · OH
Old Arlington
1.2
/ 10 · Very Low
Tract · OH
Eastcleft
1.2
/ 10 · Very Low
Tract · OH
Kendale
1.2
/ 10 · Very Low
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