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Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally

Eastcleft Eviction Risk: Lower , Upper Arlington

Tract 39049006410 · Franklin County, OH · pop 3,054 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

39049006410 is a census tract in the Eastcleft area of Upper Arlington, OH. It scores 3/10 for landlords. Population here is 3,054. 22% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well below the Franklin County average of 41.6%.

Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 4% Stable renters 13% Owners 83%
Tract context
Occupied units1,187
Renter share16.5%
SVI overall0.03
Poverty rate2.2%
Median income$149,146

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 4 tracts In Eastcleft
Very Low
Within parent city
88 th percentile
Rank, 88th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 9 tracts In Upper Arlington
High
Within county
6 th percentile
Rank, 6th percentileLowHigh
#308 of 328 tracts In Franklin County
Very Low
Within state
31 th percentile
Rank, 31st percentileLowHigh
#2,197 of 3,162 tracts In Ohio
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Upper Arlington and the region

Centroid at 40.0117, -83.0824 · click any tract to drill in

Why Eastcleft scores 3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Upper Arlington
6.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.6
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
2.2% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,591 rent vs county FMR
6.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Upper Arlington
3.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Upper Arlington
4.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Upper Arlington
3.0

How Eastcleft compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Eastcleft risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.0This tracttract 0064103.4Upper Arlingtonparent city4.4Countyavg tract in county4.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 3

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: A: Best

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade A meant wealthy, predominantly white neighborhoods favored for lending. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 56Total filings over 10 yrs
  • 1.76%Avg annual filing rate
  • 4.3%Peak (2004)
  • 3Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2002 to 2015
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 39049006410

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 37Total filings 2020-21
  • 0.5Avg monthly (observed)
  • 0.1Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 3.70×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Columbus, OH as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Eastcleft. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Eastcleft

The main counterweight is economic stress at 1/10. On the softer side, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.9/10. Disability prevalence runs 17.7% against 31.5% nationally.

Against the Franklin County average of 4.4, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.4 points. On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8/10.

Housing insecurity runs 4.8% against 14.2% nationally. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 56 filings here across 10 tracked years.

The severe-burden share is 9%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Filings peaked in 2004 at 4.3% of renter households.

This ground was mapped A ("Best") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Columbus. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 1.8% of renter households face a filing.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 39049006410

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39049006410?

Census tract 39049006410 in the Eastcleft neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 39049006410?

Median gross rent is $1,591/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 22% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 39049006410?

2.2% of residents in tract 39049006410 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,054.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 39049006410?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 3th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 5th, household 17th, minority 14th, housing 8th.
Q5

Is tract 39049006410 considered part of Eastcleft?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39049006410 fall within Eastcleft (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39049006410?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 56 eviction filings across 10 validated years in tract 39049006410 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.76% of renter households, peaking at 4.3% in 2004. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

Did eviction filings in tract 39049006410 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 3.70× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Columbus eviction risk, OH), 2020-2021.
Q8

What share of households in tract 39049006410 struggle to pay rent?

About 4.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9

How does tract 39049006410 compare to Upper Arlington overall?

Tract 39049006410 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Upper Arlington at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Upper Arlington eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q10

Was tract 39049006410 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of A. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Upper Arlington

Top eight tracts in Upper Arlington ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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