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Neighborhood · Cincinnati, OH

Carthage Eviction Risk: Moderate

2 census tracts · pop 5,071 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.2/10 · range 4.5–6

Carthage spans 2 census tracts of Cincinnati, OH, population 5,071. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 5.2/10, Moderate tier. Cost burden runs 54% against 30.1% citywide, putting Carthage 23.5% over its own city.

22% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate. 20.3% of adults report being unable to pay a utility bill, against a 9.2% national figure. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.

Internally this is not one market. Tract scores span 4.5 to 6, so two buildings inside the same boundary can carry materially different risk. What pushes the score up most is tenant-organizing strength at 7.4/10.

CDC survey data puts housing insecurity at 24.7% of adults, against 14.2% nationally. Filings are well documented here: 1,485 across 2 observed tracts. The worst year on record was 2015, when filings touched 18.1% of renter households.

The most recent observed rate, 9.3% in 2018, is well off that peak. That places it #18 of 38 neighborhoods in Cincinnati. The closest comparables inside the same city are Knowltons Corner and Bond Hill.

Social vulnerability runs high at 8.6/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input.

For a specific building, read the per-tract breakdown below rather than the 5.2 headline, because the internal range is too wide to average safely. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
5.2
Moderate
2 tracts · population-weighted
Carthage vs Cincinnati How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
53.6% +78%
Cincinnati: 30.1%
Average gross rent
$991 -1%
Cincinnati: $1,001
Average HH income
$45,612 -12%
Cincinnati: $51,707
Poverty rate
14.6% -40%
Cincinnati: 24.5%
Renter share
51.7% -14%
Cincinnati: 60.2%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Carthage and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 4.5–6

Why Carthage scores 5.2

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 2.4–2.4 across tracts
2.4
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.8–5.8 across tracts
5.8
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 6.2–6.8 across tracts
6.5
Rent control risk
54% of income on rent · Range 2.0–9.0 across tracts
5.2
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 2.0–5.0 across tracts
3.6
Tenant organizing strength
52% renter households · Range 5.5–9.6 across tracts
7.4
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 4.5–8.8 across tracts
6.5
Economic stress
14.6% below poverty line · Range 1.7–6.0 across tracts
3.7
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.0–4.8 across tracts
3.1
Risk score comparison

Carthage vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Carthage score vs. parent city, state, U.S.5.2CarthageNeighborhood4.5Parent cityhost city4.0Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Carthage

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
39061025700 6 2,312 54% $663
39061006100 4.5 2,759 54% $1,265
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 85

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 88%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 89%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 49%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 62%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Carthage

Aggregated across 2 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1,485Total filings (sum)
  • 8.45%Avg annual filing rate
  • 18.1%Peak year (2015)
  • 9.04%Latest filed (2018)

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 496Total filings 2020-21
  • 3.1Avg monthly observed
  • 4.1Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.79×Ratio to baseline

Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Cincinnati, OH).

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Carthage

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Carthage

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Carthage?

Carthage scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Carthage compare to Cincinnati overall?

Carthage scores 0.7 points higher than Cincinnati overall (4.5/10). Renters spend 54% of income on rent vs 30% citywide. Average rent: $991 vs $1,001.
Q3

What is the average rent in Carthage?

Average gross rent in Carthage is $991/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 54% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Carthage residents are renters?

52% of Carthage households are renter-occupied (vs 60% in Cincinnati). The neighborhood has 5,071 residents.
Q5

Is Carthage a high social-vulnerability area?

Carthage sits in the 85th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Carthage have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Carthage is census tract 39061025700 (score 6/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 4.5 to 6, a spread of 1.5 points.
Q7

How safe is Carthage for landlords?

Carthage carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.2/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Cincinnati as a whole (4.5/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Carthage?

Carthage has 5,330 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (51.7%), Hispanic / Latino (17.4%), Black (non-Hispanic) (17%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Carthage

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Cincinnati

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Carthage.

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