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Neighborhood · Painesville, OH

Heisley Park Eviction Risk: Lower

1 census tracts · pop 2,721 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.7/10 · range 3.7–3.7

Heisley Park is a one-tract neighborhood of Painesville, OH and houses 2,721 people. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 3.7/10, Lower tier. Average gross rent is $1,714, 65% above the Painesville average of $1,036.

The voucher gap is 41.9%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears. What pushes the score up most is tenant-organizing strength at 9.2/10.

Running hot is supply constraint at 9.2/10. Severe burden reaches 25%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears.

On the softer side is economic stress, at 1.3/10. Cost burden runs 39% against 30.9% citywide, putting Heisley Park 8.2% over its own city. SNAP participation is 6.7% of households versus 15.2% nationally.

Food insecurity affects 9.4% of adults, 8.4 points below the national rate. Poverty sits at 5%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

Annual rent works out to 20% of average household income of $100,969. 44% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

One tract means one number: 3.7/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
3.7
Lower
1 tracts · population-weighted
Heisley Park vs Painesville How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
39.1% +27%
Painesville: 30.9%
Average gross rent
$1,714 +65%
Painesville: $1,036
Average HH income
$100,969 +100%
Painesville: $50,455
Poverty rate
5.4% -76%
Painesville: 22.9%
Renter share
43.9% -10%
Painesville: 48.9%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Heisley Park and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 3.7–3.7

Why Heisley Park scores 3.7

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 2.4–2.4 across tracts
2.4
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 4.3–4.3 across tracts
4.3
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 4.9–4.9 across tracts
4.9
Rent control risk
39% of income on rent · Range 7.0–7.0 across tracts
7.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 1.9–1.9 across tracts
1.9
Tenant organizing strength
44% renter households · Range 9.2–9.2 across tracts
9.2
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 7.7–7.7 across tracts
7.7
Economic stress
5.4% below poverty line · Range 1.3–1.3 across tracts
1.3
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 9.2–9.2 across tracts
9.2
Risk score comparison

Heisley Park vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Heisley Park score vs. parent city, state, U.S.3.7Heisley ParkNeighborhood4.5Parent cityhost city4.0Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Heisley Park

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
39085204303 3.7 2,721 39% $1,714
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 27

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 19%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 30%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 40%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 45%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Heisley Park

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Heisley Park

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Heisley Park?

Heisley Park scores 3.7/10 (Lower tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Heisley Park compare to Painesville overall?

Heisley Park scores 0.8 points lower than Painesville overall (4.5/10). Renters spend 39% of income on rent vs 31% citywide. Average rent: $1,714 vs $1,036.
Q3

What is the average rent in Heisley Park?

Average gross rent in Heisley Park is $1,714/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 39% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Heisley Park residents are renters?

44% of Heisley Park households are renter-occupied (vs 49% in Painesville). The neighborhood has 2,721 residents.
Q5

Is Heisley Park a high social-vulnerability area?

Heisley Park sits in the 27th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Heisley Park for landlords?

Heisley Park carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.7/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Painesville as a whole (4.5/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Heisley Park?

Heisley Park has 2,796 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (81.7%), Hispanic / Latino (5.6%), Black (non-Hispanic) (5.6%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Heisley Park

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Painesville

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Heisley Park.

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