Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #56,265 of 84,120 nationally
Heisley Park Eviction Risk: Lower , Painesville
Tract 39085204303 · Lake County, OH · pop 2,721 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
Census tract 39085204303 belongs to the Heisley Park area of Painesville, Ohio. It is home to 2,721 residents and scores 5.5/10, a moderate reading for landlords. That is riskier than roughly 56% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 39% of renter households, a high level, and 25% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,714 monthly, set against $100,969 in average yearly household income, roughly 20% of income at the averages. About 44% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
3.6
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1-10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 17%
Stable renters 27%
Owners 56%
Tract context
Occupied units1,100
Renter share43.9%
SVI overall0.26
Poverty rate5.4%
Median income$100,969
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
16
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
22
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Painesville and the region
Centroid at 41.7105, -81.2841 · click any tract to drill in
Why Heisley Park scores 3.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Painesville
4.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.3
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
5.4% poverty · this tract
1.3
Supply constraint
$1,714 rent vs county FMR
9.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Painesville
7.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Painesville
9.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Painesville
7.7
How Heisley Park compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 26
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 19%Socioeconomic
- 30%Household composition
- 40%Racial/ethnic minority
- 45%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 9.2%Housing insecurity
- 6.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 9.4%Food insecurity
- 6.7%SNAP enrollment
- 5.8%Transit barriers
- 6.3%No health insurance
- 16.9%Frequent mental distress
- 22.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Heisley Park
The score leans hardest on supply constraint at 9.2/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Painesville, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Lake County average of 4.8 and above the Ohio statewide average of 5.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 9.2% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 6.3% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 26th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 39085204303
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39085204303?
Census tract 39085204303 in the Heisley Park neighborhood scores 3.6/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 39085204303?
Median gross rent is $1,714/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 39% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 39085204303?
5.4% of residents in tract 39085204303 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,721.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 39085204303?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 26th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 19th, household 30th, minority 40th, housing 45th.
Q5
Is tract 39085204303 considered part of Heisley Park?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39085204303 fall within Heisley Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 39085204303 struggle to pay rent?
About 9.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 39085204303 compare to Painesville overall?
Tract 39085204303 scores 3.6/10, lower than the parent city of Painesville at 4.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Painesville; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Painesville
Top eight tracts in Painesville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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